GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares in waiting mode ahead of Fed, ECB events

Published 18/11/2019, 01:27
Updated 18/11/2019, 01:36
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares in waiting mode ahead of Fed, ECB events

* Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

* Asian indices barely changed in early trading

* Markets look to Fed minutes, ECB Lagarde speech

* Pound inches up as opinion polls favour Tories

By Wayne Cole

SYDNEY, Nov 18 (Reuters) - Asian share markets got the week

off to a muted start on Monday as jaded investors awaited real

evidence on progress in the U.S.-China trade dispute, though

sentiment found support from another record close on Wall

Street.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS dipped 0.06% in very light volumes.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 added 0.05%, but remained short of

its recent 13-month top. E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 ESc1

eased 0.1%, though that was from historic highs.

Doubts about Sino-U.S. trade talks emerged early last week,

although optimism gradually returned as U.S. officials sounded

more positive.

On Saturday, Chinese state media said the two sides had

"constructive talks" on trade in a high-level phone call that

included Vice Premier Liu He, U.S. trade representative Robert

Lighthizer and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin. "Markets remain at risk of further short-term volatility

given issues around trade, Iran & the Middle East, impeachment

noise and weak global economic data," said Shane Oliver head of

investment strategy and chief economist at AMP Capital.

"But valuations are okay – particularly against low bond

yields - global growth indicators are expected to improve

through next year and monetary and fiscal policy are becoming

more supportive."

Wall Street's main indexes closed at record levels on Friday

as the S&P 500 scored its sixth straight week of gains. The Dow

.DJI ended Friday up 0.8%, while the S&P 500 .SPX made 0.77%

and the Nasdaq .IXIC 0.73%. .N

WAITING ON THE FED

In currency markets, the dollar was little changed against

its main peers on Monday and well within recent tight trading

ranges. Indeed, volatility in the market has been the lowest in

decades recently and shows no sign of shifting.

The dollar was steady on the yen at 108.72 JPY= , after

bouncing on Friday. Chart support lies at 108.23 with stiff

resistance at 109.48.

The euro, likewise, idled at $1.1054 EUR= having found

support at $1.0987 last week. Investors are awaiting the first

major speech by European Central Bank President Christine

Lagarde due on Friday for clues on future policy.

Sterling nudged up to $1.2916 GBP=D3 as more polls showed

the Tories well ahead in the election race. Against a basket of currencies, the dollar was a shade

softer at 97.954 .DXY .

The dollar and bonds are likely to be sensitive to minutes

of the Federal Reserve's last policy meeting, set to be

released on Wednesday.

"The minutes are likely to reiterate that the U.S. economy

is 'solid' and that current monetary policy settings are

'appropriate', which would support the dollar," said Joseph

Capurso, a currency analyst at Commonwealth Bank of Australia.

However, he noted the soft report on October U.S. retail

sales released on Friday suggested previously strong consumption

was showing some cracks. "Any further weakness in consumption could warrant a

material reassessment of the outlook by the FOMC. Under our

baseline, the FOMC would most likely start cutting interest

rates again in 2020," said Capurso.

Spot gold was flat at $1,468.45 per ounce XAU= as it

tracks every passing twitch in risk appetite.

Oil prices were supported after Brent touched a seven-week

high on Friday. O/R

In early trade, Brent crude LCOc1 futures firmed 2 cents

to $63.32, while U.S. crude CLc1 added 3 cents to $57.75 a

barrel.

Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA

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(Editing by Sam Holmes)

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