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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares advance on U.S.-China trade progress, ECB easing

Published 13/09/2019, 03:40
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares advance on U.S.-China trade progress, ECB easing
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* Ex-Japan Asia MSCI up 0.3%, Nikkei gains 1.0%

* S&P 500 near record peak hit in late July

* Euro, bonds lose steam on profit-taking after ECB

* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO, Sept 13 (Reuters) - Asian stocks advanced on Friday

as hints of progress in U.S.-China trade talks and aggressive

stimulus from the European Central Bank helped counter worries

about a global economic slowdown.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS ticked up 0.3% though mainland China and South

Korea were closed for public holidays. Japan's Nikkei .N225

rose 1.0% to four-month highs.

"Risk assets should find further support from accommodative

policies, which are set to remain in vogue for some time, and

not just in Europe as seen in the global easing trend," said

Esty Dwek, head of global market strategy at Natixis in Geneva,

Switzerland.

"Nonetheless, we believe that trade uncertainty and growth

concerns will not vanish, so any reprieve on either subject will

be welcome. We also believe that some earnings growth will be

needed for equities to grind higher," she said.

The United States on Thursday welcomed China's renewed

purchases of U.S. farm goods while maintaining the threat of

U.S. tariff hikes as the world's two largest economies prepared

for talks aimed at breaking their trade war impasse.

Trump said he preferred a comprehensive trade deal with

China but did not rule out the possibility of an interim pact,

even as he said an "easy" agreement would not be

possible. Investors bet optimism will prevail in the near future

though most economists in a new Reuters poll believed the trade

dispute will worsen or at best stay the same over the coming

year. The U.S. S&P 500 closed within striking distance of its

all-time closing high, rising 0.29% to 3,009.57, near record

closing high of 3,024.50 marked in late July. .N

Philadelphia semiconductor shares index .SOX hit an

all-time high while MSCI ACWI .MIWD00000PUS also came near

this year's high after seven straight days of gains by Thursday.

Sentiment found modest support from Trump's planned tax

overhaul aimed at middle-income households next

year.

CENTRAL BANKS

The European Central Bank delivered bigger-than-expected

stimulus, cutting interest rates by 0.10 percentage point to

minus 0.50%, promising that rates would stay low for longer and

restarting bond purchases of 20 billion euros a month from

November. The resumption of quantitative easing had been seen as a

close call and helped to boost risk assets.

But the euro quickly lost steam and European bond yields

also rose as profit-taking set in.

ECB President Mario Draghi stepped up his rhetoric in

calling for governments to spend their way out of a slowdown,

highlighting the limitations of monetary policy and also fanning

expectations of fiscal spending down the road.

The euro stood at $1.10645 EUR= , having risen 0.5 percent

on Thursday and staying near two-week high of $1.10875 hit in

U.S. trade.

Rising risk appetite pushed the yen down to six-week low of

106.265 to the dollar JPY= .

The 10-year German Bund yields also rose back to minus

0.521% DE10YT=RR .

That also helped to lift the yield on 10-year U.S.

Treasuries to as high as 1.801 percent US10YT=RR , its highest

level since early August.

Fed funds rate futures 0#FF: price in an interest rate cut

of 0.25 percentage point by the Fed next week but have

effectively priced out any chance of a larger cut.

The Fed will announce its policy on Wednesday, followed by

the Bank of Japan (BOJ) on Thursday.

Sources told Reuters the BOJ is leaning towards standing pat

next week if markets are calm, but is brainstorming ways to

deepen negative interest rates at minimal cost. "I think a rally in stock prices will run out of steam soon.

It's typical buy-on-rumour-sell-on-fact trade on central bank

stimulus and will be over by the Fed and the BOJ's meetings,"

said Tatsushi Maeno, senior strategist at Okasan Asset

Management.

"People also seem to think there will be a deal between

China and the States soon but you never know when suddenly Trump

do about-face. We just saw that in May and August," he added.

Trump unveiled a hike in tariffs on $200 billion worth of

Chinese imports in early May and announced another 10% tariff on

the remaining $300 billion imports from China in early August.

U.S. stock prices were at record levels on both occasions.

Oil prices were on course to post weekly losses, on

continued worries about weakening demand and on speculation

Trump may ease sanctions on Iran after his former national

security advisor John Bolton, an Iran hawk, left the White House

earlier this week.

Brent crude LCOc1 futures fell 0.2% to $60.28 a barrel

while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 lost 0.2%

to $54.99.

(Editing by Kim Coghill and Sam Holmes)

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