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GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares bask in "very good" U.S-China trade talks and Brexit deal hopes

Published 11/10/2019, 09:59
Updated 11/10/2019, 10:10
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares bask in "very good" U.S-China trade talks and Brexit deal hopes
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* MSCI world equity index up 0.4%

* Wall Street futures up 0.4-0.6%

* Sterling holds onto gains after 2% jump

* U.S.-China negotiations "very, very good" - Trump

* Oil soars after explosion on Iranian oil tanker

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Tom Wilson

LONDON, Oct 11 (Reuters) - World shares on Friday basked in

optimism for a detente in the U.S.-China trade war and hopes

that Britain was moving closer to a smooth exit from the

European Union.

MSCI world equity index .MIWD00000PUS , which tracks shares

in 47 countries, gained 0.4% to head towards its first weekly

gain in four weeks. The broader Euro STOXX 600 .STOXX also

jumped 0.6%, led by a 1.1% gain for the main index in Frankfurt

.GDAXI

Asian shares had rallied earlier, with an index of

Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS climbing 1.3%.

The positive mood was set to spread to the U.S., too, where Wall

Street futures gauges EScv1 NQcv1 were up between 0.4%-0.6%.

The improvement in appetite for riskier bets came after U.S.

President Donald Trump on Thursday called the first day of trade

talks with China in over two months "very, very good."

The talks between U.S. and Chinese negotiators fed hopes

that the two sides could dial down the 15-month trade war that

has upset financial markets and supply chains across the world,

and delay a U.S. tariff hike scheduled for next week.

Trump reiterated plans to meet China's Vice Premier Liu He

on Friday at the White House.

Expectations of progress on Thursday had pushed up U.S.

markets, with Wall Street .DJI .SPX gaining around 0.6%.

Yet investors said markets were hoping for, at best, a deal

limited in scope, and they noted that sunny rhetoric had in the

past failed to translate into more meaningful moves.

"I would caution that we have been here before, where we

have seen positive talk," said Mike Bell, global market

strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

"It's possible they will be able to do a smaller deal around

tariffs, where there is some room for movement."

Hopes of progress in the trade war buoyed riskier currencies

and pinned down the dollar. The Chinese yuan CNY= traded at

7.0941 per dollar, its strongest since Sept. 23.

Against a basket of currencies the greenback was a touch

softer at 98.655 .DXY.

"GLIMMER OF HOPE" ON BREXIT

Signs of progress in Brexit, the other long-running

geopolitical saga stressing out the markets, also emboldened

investors.

After meeting British Prime Minister Boris Johnson for

talks, Irish Prime Minister Leo Varadkar said on Thursday that a

deal to let Britain leave the European Union in an orderly

fashion could be sealed by the end of the month. Varadkar called the talks "constructive," while the two

leaders said in a joint statement that they could "see a pathway

to a possible deal".

But it remained unclear what the pair agreed on.

Sterling GBP=D3 held onto its gains after soaring 2% a day

earlier, its largest daily percentage gain in seven months, to

trade little changed at $1.2437.

But with Britain due to leave the world's biggest trading

bloc on Oct. 31, the fate of Brexit is still in the balance.

Market players said investors remained skittish. Moves in

sterling reflected a tendency to jump on any signs of progress.

"We are moving to a glimmer of hope, rather than strong

expectation that things will get done," Tim Drayson, head of

economics at Legal & General Investment Management.

Yet Drayson said that any deal struck between Dublin and

London would then face the hurdle of the British parliament,

even after securing agreement from the European Union.

"I think the odds are that we don't reach an agreement, but

I'm not expecting a crash out on October 31."

Irish government bonds rallied, outperforming their euro

zone peers, after Varadkar's comments. Stocks in Dublin .ISEQ

jumped 1.8%, to hit their highest in 2-1/2 months.

"We still think that markets are probably underpricing the

likelihood of a hard Brexit scenario," said Salman Baig, a

cross-asset investment manager at Unigestion.

In commodities, oil prices jumped by 2% after Iranian news

agencies said a state-owned oil tanker was struck by two

missiles in the Red Sea near Saudi Arabia, raising the prospect

of supply disruptions from a crucial producing region.

Global benchmark Brent crude LCOc1 was up around 2.1% at

$60.36 per barrel.

For Reuters Live Markets blog on European and UK stock

markets, please click on: LIVE/

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