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GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares sapped by poor China growth, dollar gets weekly mauling

Published 18/10/2019, 13:04
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares sapped by poor China growth, dollar gets weekly mauling
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* European shares choppy in morning trading after Asia slips

* China GDP grows 6.0% in third quarter, near three-decade

* Dollar set for worst week since mid June, Wall Street

futures

* Sterling gives back some gains after Brexit deal rally

* Benchmark government bond yields nudge higher

* World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Marc Jones

LONDON, Oct 18 (Reuters) - World stocks flatlined after

China posted its weakest growth in nearly three decades on

Friday, while the dollar headed for its worst week in almost

four months having been pummelled by pound and euro Brexit

rallies.

China's economy grew a slightly less-than-expected 6% in the

third quarter but traders seemed to be taking

comfort that swift stimulus from Beijing and major central banks

in recent weeks could avert a more serious downturn.

Asia did see a 1.2% slump in Chinese shares .CSI300 but

Wall Street futures were steady and European bourses had mostly

recovered from their early wobbles .SXAP after carmarker

Renault issued a screeching profit warning. .EU China's news didn't come as too much of a surprise either

amid the country's trade war with the United States and after

the International Monetary Fund had cut its global forecasts

again this week.

"You can't get away from the fact that China is slowing, but

it's not slowing more than we thought," said head of global

macro strategy at State Street Global Markets Michael Metcalfe.

"We know that Q4 is going to be a soft patch, but to a

degree policymakers are ahead of this, so as long as we don't

have an escalation of the trade war now, I think markets can

handle it."

In currencies, sterling was taking a breather at $1.2886

GBP= , having scored its best six-day streak in nearly 30 years

on Thursday after Britain and the EU sealed a new Brexit deal.

Doubts about whether that deal will be approved in the

British parliament were still sky high, though.

Swathes of lawmakers, who are either reluctant about Brexit

or worried the deal is not a clean enough break, will debate the

deal in a rare Saturday sitting, meaning Monday trading will

certainly be lively.

"Whatever was agreed last night with the EU still has to go

through the British parliament... the uncertainty surrounding

that still hasn't changed one iota," said James McGlew,

executive director of corporate stockbroking at Argonaut.

The euro meanwhile continued to creep upwards, making a

7-week high of $1.1145 EUR=EBS . The dollar remained weak too,

having seen poor retail sales data and more U.S. interest rate

cut talk contribute to its biggest weekly slide since June.

.DXY

Money markets are pricing in an 82% chance of a U.S.

interest rate cut at the Oct. 30 meeting, Refinitiv data shows.

"We are lowering the policy rate today, we are taking on

board downside risk, but we can take back that insurance in 2020

or 2021 if it turns out we were overly worried about the

downside risks," Federal Reserve policymaker James Bullard said

this week. Helping to alleviate immediate trade war worries, China had

said on Thursday that it hoped to reach a phased agreement in

its trade dispute with the United States as soon as possible.

Investors were also encouraged by upbeat premarket earnings

from Coca-Cola KO.N and Oilfield services provider

Schlumberger SLB.N , but poor results from International

Business Machines Corp IBM.N and weak U.S. economic data

weighed.

Housing starts, industrial production and mid-Atlantic

factory output all fell short of economists' expectations.

Reflecting the cautious mood, the safe-haven yen

strengthened, with the dollar falling 0.13% to 108.51. The yield

on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes US10YT=RR edged up though

to 1.764%, compared with a U.S. close of 1.755% on Thursday.

Brexit progress meant European yields were also nudging up

with German Bund yields holding at -0.40%, the highest since

early August. DE10YT=RR

The Bund yield is now up 16 bps since Irish and British

leaders said on Oct. 10 they saw a path to a Brexit deal, which

boosted risk appetite and weakened demand for safe-haven assets

like bonds.

In commodities, oil fell on the China data, with Brent crude

LCOc1 easing 0.52% to $59.60 and U.S. crude CLc1 dropping

0.19% to $53.83.

"The (China) GDP print has weighed on short-term sentiment

and we have seen regional stock markets and oil contracts edge

lower because of that," said Jeffrey Halley, senior market

analyst for Asia Pacific at brokerage OANDA.

Crude demand growth tends to track economic growth trends,

but Halley said China's need for oil would not recede any time

soon.

Underlining that view, Chinese official data released on

Friday showed robust refinery throughput in September, rising

9.4% from a year earlier to 56.49 million tonnes, on increases

from new refineries and some independent refiners resuming

operations after maintenance.

Gold XAU= dipped to $1,488 per ounce. GOL/

GBP loses Brexit deal boost https://tmsnrt.rs/2MtqzNH

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

(Additional Reporting by Shadia Nasralla in London and Andrew

Galbraith in Shanghai; Editing by Nick Macfie)

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