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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks falter ahead of Fed on trade deal worries

Published 30/10/2019, 07:24
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks falter ahead of Fed on trade deal worries
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* MSCI world index stays near 21-month high

* Investors expect Fed to cut rates, focus on policy outlook

* European shares seen steady to slightly lower

* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO, Oct 30 (Reuters) - A rally in global shares stalled

on Wednesday, with Asian shares slipping from three-month highs,

as the prospect of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve was

countered by worries a Sino-U.S. first-stage trade deal could be

delayed.

European shares are also set for a soft opening session,

with Euro Stoxx 50 futures STXEc1 , German DAX futures FDXc1

and FTSE futures FFIc1 all trading flat to a tad lower.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS shed 0.33% from Tuesday's three-month high while

Japan's Nikkei .N225 lost 0.57% after hitting a one-year high

the previous day.

China's CSI300 of Shanghai and Shenzhen shares .CSI300

fell 0.49%.

On Wall Street overnight, the S&P 500 index touched a record

intraday high, led by strong earnings from drug manufacturers

such as Merck MRK.N and Pfizer PFE.N , before ending down

0.08%.

Markets had erased gains after Reuters reported a U.S.

administration official said an interim trade agreement between

Washington and Beijing might not be completed in time for

signing in Chile next month as expected. A disappointing profit report from Google parent Alphabet

GOOGL.O kept the technology-rich Nasdaq in the red, with the

Nasdaq Composite .IXIC falling 0.59%.

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS

slipped 0.06% in Asia on Wednesday from a 21-month high reached

on Tuesday.

Since U.S. President Donald Trump outlined what he called

the first phase of a trade deal with China earlier this month,

investors have bet on a trade truce between the two countries,

driving global equities higher.

Expectations of further U.S. monetary policy loosening also

emboldened investors, with a reduction of 0.25 percentage point

later in the day almost seen as a done deal.

"With a cut today completely priced in, markets are looking

to the Fed's stance on its policy outlook," said Masahiro

Ichikawa, senior strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset

Management.

While Fed funds rate futures 0#FF: fully price in a 25-

basis-point cut on Wednesday, only about a 30% chance of another

cut in December has been priced in, compared with about more

than 70% earlier this month.

"I think the Fed will clearly indicate that a rate cut in

December is not its main scenario," said Tomoaki Shishido, macro

strategist at Nomura Securities.

Fading expectations of aggressive rate cuts by the Fed have

lifted the two-year U.S. bond yield to 1.642% US2YT=RR ,

compared with a two-year low of 1.368% in early October.

The 10-year U.S. Treasuries yield stood at 1.833%

US10YT=RR , near a 1-1/2-month high of 1.860% touched earlier

this week.

That has helped to lift the dollar, particularly against

safe-haven currencies such as the yen. The dollar was traded at

108.86 yen JPY= , after having hit a three-month high of 109.07

The Bank of Japan is widely expected to keep its policy on

hold on Thursday.

The euro stood flat at $1.1111 EUR= , having bounced off

from Tuesday's low of $1.10735.

The British pound wobbled after Britain decided to hold an

election on Dec. 12 after Prime Minister Boris Johnson won

approval from parliament for an early ballot aimed at breaking

the Brexit deadlock. While Johnson seeks to gain a parliamentary majority to

ratify his Brexit deal, the election would be highly

unpredictable as Brexit has fatigued and enraged swathes of

voters, while eroding traditional loyalties to the two major

parties, Conservative and Labour.

The currency last traded at $1.2864 GBP=D4 , down 0.1% so

far on Wednesday.

Oil prices slipped after an industry report that stocks at

the Cushing delivery hub for the benchmark rose last week,

shrugging off a drop in overall inventories.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 lost 0.47%

to $55.28 per barrel while international benchmark Brent crude

LCOc1 futures dropped 0.19% to $61.47 a barrel.

(Editing by Jacqueline Wong and Richard Borsuk)

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