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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks stall and dollar squeezed as investors wait for stimulus

Published 06/08/2020, 06:53
Updated 06/08/2020, 06:54
© Reuters.
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* Economic worries clip stocks in Asian trade
* Dollar weighed down by falling U.S. real yields
* Bank of England, RBI, U.S. fiscal deal eyed
* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

By Tom Westbrook
SINGAPORE, Aug 6 (Reuters) - U.S.-China tension and sobering
economic data knocked momentum out of Asia's stock markets on
Thursday, though the hope of stimulus staved off falls and kept
pressure on the dollar as investors wait for Congress to agree
on a new spending package.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
.MIAPJ0000PUS hit an early-session six-and-a-half-month peak
but fell back to be flat after drops in China and Hong Kong.
European markets also appeared set for a soft open with Euro
STOXX 50 futures STXEc1 down 0.4% and FTSE futures FFIc1
down 0.6%, while S&P 500 futures ESc1 were steady.
Japan's Nikkei .N225 declined 0.5%. .T
The Australian benchmark .AXJO and the Aussie dollar
AUD= pulled back after the government hiked its unemployment
forecast and said new lockdowns would cut about 2.5 percentage
points from third-quarter growth. That came after weak U.S. jobs figures overnight - which
have investors keenly focused on U.S. labour data releases later
in the day and on Friday - and an unexpectedly dire 16.5% slump
in Philippine growth. Stepped up efforts from the Trump administration to purge
"untrusted" Chinese apps from U.S. networks also weighed on
WeChat owner Tencent 0700.HK , Alibaba 9988.HK , and overall
sentiment. However none of the bad news was enough to actually jam
markets into reverse or shake investors' faith that governments
and central banks will ease up on stimulus any time soon.
"With every bit of bad news there's also promise of good
news," said Jasslyn Yeo, global markets strategist at J.P.
Morgan Asset Management in Singapore.
"Investors know that we are in a cyclical uptrend," she
said. That uptrend is driving inflation expectations higher and
lending support to gold and growth stocks while undermining the
dollar as U.S. real yields go lower.
Ten-year U.S. Treasury Inflation-Protected Security (TIPS)
yields US10YTIP=RR touched a record-low -1.071% on Thursday as
the dollar wallowed a few whiskers above a two-year trough
=USD . FRX/ Nominal U.S. yields rose a touch as traders
braced for a wave of issuance. US/
Gold XAU= sat comfortably above $2,000 an ounce and crept
back toward a record peak hit on Wednesday. GOL/

WAITING FOR THE NEXT BOOST
Positive earnings surprises from Toyota 7203.T and
Singapore's DBS Bank DBSM.SI in Asia, and Disney DIS.N
overnight, offered hope that the COVID-19 hit to corporate
earnings last quarter might not be as bad as first feared.
The next insight into the near-term recovery outlook comes
from U.S. jobless claims due at 1230 GMT and payroll figures on
Friday as well as whatever fiscal rescue package emerges from
political wrangling in Washington.
Top congressional Democrats and White House officials
appeared to harden their stances on the relief plan on
Wednesday, with few hints of compromise or that an unemployment
benefit as generous as $600 a week could be reinstated.
But investors interpreted Senate Republican Roy Blunt's
remark that "if there's not a deal by Friday, there won't be a
deal," as a sign there would be an agreement. Sterling traded cautiously ahead of a Bank of England (BOE)
policy decision due at 0600 GMT. No changes are expected but
some traders are looking for a dovish tilt in language.
"After its sharp 5.5% appreciation in July, the pound will
be vulnerable to any sign of the BOE inching towards zero or
negative rates," said strategists at DBS.
The pound GBP= was last up 0.1% at $1.3132, while India's
rupee INR= also traded firmly ahead of a central bank meeting
which has analysts divided over whether to expect more easing or
a pause in rate cuts. Other major currencies were firm with the euro EUR=EBS at
$1.1878 and the yen JPY= at 105.51 per dollar.
Brent crude LCOc1 inched back toward a five-month high
touched overnight, rising 0.2% to $45.28 per barrel and U.S.
crude CLc1 was steady at $42.17 per barrel. O/R

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