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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks steady, oil cools as U.S.-Iran tensions ease

Published 07/01/2020, 10:12
Updated 07/01/2020, 10:18
© Reuters. GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks steady, oil cools as U.S.-Iran tensions ease
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* World stocks steady after selloff

* Oil off highs as Iran strike against U.S. seen unlikely

* European stocks rise 0.6%

* MSCI world index 0.4% away from all-time high

By Thyagaraju Adinarayan

LONDON, Jan 7 (Reuters) - World shares steadied and oil

pulled back from multi-month highs on Tuesday after dramatic

post-new year moves, as investors judged prospects of an all-out

conflict between the United States and Iran had eased.

After a strong rally, oil gave back some of its gains amid

signs that Iran would be unlikely to strike against the U.S. in

a way that would disrupt supplies. O/R

Brent crude LCOc1 futures fell 49 cents to $68.42 a

barrel, having been as high as $70.74 on Monday, while U.S.

crude CLc1 dropped 42 cents to $62.85.

European equities .STOXX meanwhile rose 0.7%, tracking

similar gains in Asia. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific

shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS recouped almost all of

Monday's losses.

Stock futures for the S&P 500 ESc1 firmed 0.2%.

"Geopolitical risk has always felt much worse for markets in

the heat of the moment than it does in hindsight, but it's

always possible that the next one will bring us into a different

era," Deutsche Bank strategist Jim Reid said.

Risky assets started 2020 on the back foot as Tehran and

Washington traded threats after a U.S. air strike on Baghdad

airport killed a top Iranian commander.

On Monday the mood began to calm, helping U.S. shares

recover ground. The Dow .DJI rose 0.24%, the S&P 500 .SPX

0.35% and the Nasdaq .IXIC 0.56%.

SAFETY PLAYS OUT OF FAVOUR

On Tuesday emerging markets, which had been hardest hit,

bounced back, with stocks .MSCIEF rising 0.4%.

With those gains, the MSCI world equity index

.MIWD00000PUS , which tracks shares in 49 countries, was 0.4%

away from a record high.

"Markets got a lift from the lack of follow-through (after

the air strike) as yesterday progressed, and by the end of the

session had actually staged a reasonable recovery," Reid added.

Safety plays were out of favour, with gold XAU= retreating

to $1,569.41 an ounce, after scaling a near seven-year peak

overnight. Euro zone government bond yields edged up from around

three-week lows.

The calmer mood also saw the yen lose much of its safe-haven

gains, with the dollar bouncing to 108.48 yen JPY= from a low

of 107.75 hit on Monday.

Against a basket of currencies, the dollar drifted off to

97.661 .DXY but stayed well above a recent six-month trough of

96.355.

The euro edged up to $1.1192 EUR= , but faces stiff chart

resistance around $1.1240, while sterling made gains to $1.3196

GBP= on better UK economic data.

Surveys of service sectors overnight showed an improvement

in the United States, UK and EU, suggesting the ISM measure of

U.S. services due on Tuesday might also show strength.

"We think the longest U.S. expansion on record still has

plenty of legs," said Tom Porcelli, chief U.S. economist at RBC

Capital Markets. "To be sure, Iran adds an additional layer of

complexity."

"But while the risk of conflict has increased, the reality

is this is likely to be limited to proxy skirmishes," he said.

"The risk of a "hot" conflict seems low as Iran is unlikely to

respond in such a way that risks a significant escalation from

the United States."

Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA

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