India equities poised for rally as reforms, trade hopes boost outlook: MS

Published 18/08/2025, 11:44
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Investing.com -- Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) said India’s equity market is positioned for a fresh rally, with structural reforms and easing macroeconomic pressures creating conditions for a re-rating of shares.

In its latest Asia Pacific strategy update, the brokerage pointed to the likely implementation of the goods and services tax reform, which it said would lift growth prospects and support lower interest rates through 2026. 

It also cited an improvement in India-China relations that could stabilize supply chains and investment flows.

The report highlighted sector-specific reforms as another driver. Telangana’s proposed changes to the electricity sector, if adopted by other states, were described as potentially transformative for the country’s power industry.

The analysts noted that India’s economy has already benefited from a combination of lower borrowing costs, higher liquidity and a slower pace of fiscal consolidation in recent months. 

They said these measures could sustain growth momentum even without additional policy shifts.

On the external front, sentiment could improve if trade tensions with the United States ease. 

A 25% tariff on Indian exports set to take effect on August 27 may be delayed, the report said, while negotiations on a broader India-U.S. trade agreement remain on the table.

Despite these positive signals, foreign investor positioning in Indian equities remains low, suggesting room for stronger inflows should confidence rise.

Morgan Stanley added that India has both the fundamentals and immediate triggers for equities to move higher, setting the stage for what it described as a “durable rally” in the market.

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