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Investing.com -- JPMorgan downgraded its rating for Chilean equities to Neutral from Overweight. This adjustment follows a considerable rally in the IPSA Index, which has risen over 30% in USD terms year-to-date.
Despite the strong performance, JPMorgan analysts suggest that the Chilean market may struggle to continue outperforming the region in the short term. The firm’s year-ahead report from late 2024 set the official target for the IPSA Index at 7,500 points by the end of 2025, with a more optimistic scenario of 8,500 points.
However, with the index’s current level offering less than 3% upside to the optimistic scenario, the potential for further gains appears limited. JPMorgan’s decision to downgrade is based on several factors, including an analysis of Chile’s macroeconomic and political situation, a sector-by-sector and company-specific review, and the outlook for investment flows.
While Chilean equities have benefited from improved fundamentals, the report indicates that it is challenging to foresee a continuation of the recent outperformance. In addition to the downgrade, JPMorgan has increased its Off-Index exposure to Argentina within its Latin America portfolio.
The report also notes that certain events, such as a change in policy regime or developments in copper prices, could potentially provide additional momentum to Chilean equities. However, these factors are expected to become clearer towards the end of 2025 and into 2026, and will be monitored by the firm for future investment considerations.
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