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Investing.com - The Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 index has bottomed out in February after replicating the same 47% drop seen in previous bear markets of 2015-16 and 2009-13, according to analysis from Kepler.
The research firm expects the index to rally by 100-120% from its low of 3,100 points, potentially reaching the 6,200-6,800 range, which represents approximately 35% upside from current levels. Kepler projects this upward trend will continue until February 2026.
The CSI 300 has already reached Kepler’s target of the prior swing top in the 4,500-4,550 range, which also represents the ideal target of the head-and-shoulders pattern. This technical situation could trigger short-term profit-taking of around 5%, potentially unfolding in a sideways pattern that might last up to two months before the market regains strength.
Despite potential near-term consolidation, Kepler maintains that the long-term trend points to higher targets of 5,275 and possibly revisiting the historical peak. The firm has identified several key timing points for directional changes in the index.
Kepler’s analysis indicates mid-August triggered a minor top, while mid-September could mark a potential low, followed by a potential top in mid-October and another potential low in mid-November.
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