Earnings call transcript: Gaotu Techedu Q4 2024 misses EPS forecast

Gaotu Techedu Inc. (NASDAQ: GOTU) reported a fourth-quarter loss with an EPS of -$0.53, missing the forecasted $0.12. Despite the earnings miss, the company surpassed revenue expectations, reporting $1.38 billion against the forecast of $1.3 billion. The stock reacted positively in pre-market trading, rising 10.67% to $2.80. According to InvestingPro analysis, the company maintains impressive gross profit margins of 68.36% and currently appears undervalued based on its Fair Value assessment.

Key Takeaways

• Gaotu Techedu reported a significant revenue increase of 82.5% year-over-year.
• The company missed its EPS forecast by a substantial margin.
• Pre-market trading saw a 10.67% increase in stock price.
• The company improved its operating margin by 13.9 percentage points.
• Gaotu is focusing on AI integration to enhance educational services.

Company Performance

Gaotu Techedu showcased strong revenue growth with an 82.5% increase year-over-year, reaching nearly $1.4 billion in Q4 2024. The company’s gross billings also grew by 69%, highlighting its expanding market presence. InvestingPro data reveals a robust revenue CAGR of 49% over the past five years, though the company’s Financial Health Score remains weak at 1.53 out of 5. Despite these gains, Gaotu reported a loss from operations, albeit narrowed by 20.6%, reflecting ongoing efforts to improve profitability.

Financial Highlights

• Revenue: $1.38 billion, up 82.5% year-over-year
• Gross Billings: Over $2.1 billion, up 69% year-over-year
• Full Year Net Revenues: $4.6 billion, up 53.8%
• Loss from Operations: Narrowed by 20.6%
• Operating Margin: Improved by 13.9 percentage points to -10.7%
• Net Operating Cash Inflow: $783.6 million

Earnings vs. Forecast

Gaotu Techedu’s EPS of -$0.53 fell short of the forecasted $0.12, marking a significant miss. However, the company exceeded revenue expectations, reporting $1.38 billion compared to the anticipated $1.3 billion. This revenue beat highlights Gaotu’s strong market performance, despite the earnings miss.

Market Reaction

Following the earnings release, Gaotu’s stock surged by 10.67% in pre-market trading, reaching $2.80. This positive movement contrasts with the EPS miss, suggesting investor confidence in the company’s revenue growth and strategic initiatives. The stock remains within its 52-week range, with a high of $8.44 and a low of $1.87.

Outlook & Guidance

Looking ahead, Gaotu Techedu anticipates achieving profitability at the net profit level in Q1 2025, with revenue guidance between $1.48 billion and $1.428 billion. The company plans to continue investing in AI technologies and operational efficiencies, aiming for sustained growth and enhanced profitability. InvestingPro subscribers can access 12 additional exclusive insights about Gaotu’s financial health and market position, including detailed analysis of its cash position, which currently exceeds its debt obligations. For comprehensive analysis of Gaotu and 1,400+ other stocks, explore InvestingPro’s detailed Research Reports.

Executive Commentary

CEO Larry Chen emphasized the transformative role of AI in education, stating, "AI is reshaping education in multiple ways, including personalized learning and enhanced operational efficiencies." CFO Shannon Shen expressed confidence in improving profitability, highlighting the company’s focus on operational efficiency.

Risks and Challenges

• Continued operational losses despite revenue growth
• Market competition in the online education sector
• Dependence on AI technology advancements
• Economic uncertainties affecting consumer spending
• Regulatory changes in the education sector

Q&A

During the earnings call, analysts inquired about Gaotu’s margin outlook and AI integration strategies. Management reiterated their focus on AI to personalize education and improve efficiency, addressing concerns about future profitability and technological advancements.

Full transcript - GSX Techedu Inc Class A (NYSE:GOTU) Q4 2024:

Conference Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Gautu Tech EDU Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year twenty twenty four Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in listen only mode. After today’s presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your first speaker today, Ms.

Catherine Chen, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, Catherine.

Catherine Chen, Head of Investor Relations, Gaotu Tech EDU: Thank you, operator. Good evening, everyone. Thank you for joining Gaotu’s fourth quarter and fiscal year twenty twenty four earnings conference call. My name is Katharine, and I’ll help host the earnings call today. Gaotu’s earnings release for the quarter was distributed earlier and is available on the company’s IR website at ir.gautu.cn as well as through PR Newswire services.

Joining the call with me tonight from Gaotu Senior Management is Mr. Larry Chen, Gaotu’s Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer and Ms. Shannon Shen, Gaotu’s Chief Financial Officer. Larry will first provide the business highlights for the quarter. And then afterwards, Shannon will discuss our financial performance in more detail.

Following their prepared remarks, we’ll open the floor to questions from analysts. Before we begin, I’d like to remind you that this conference call will contain forward looking statements made under the Safe Harbor provision of The U. S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward looking statements are based upon management’s current beliefs and expectations, as well as the current market and operating conditions, and they involve known or unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, all of which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond the company’s control and may cause the company’s actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those contained in any forward looking statements.

Further information regarding this and other risks is included in the company’s public filing with the U. S. SEC. The company does not undertake any obligations to update any forward looking statements, except as required under applicable law. During today’s call, management will also discuss certain non GAAP measures for comparison purpose only.

For a definition of non GAAP financial measures and reconciliation of GAAP to non GAAP financial results, please refer to our fourth quarter and fiscal year twenty twenty four earnings release published earlier today. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. In addition, a live and archived webcast of this conference call will be live on Gautou’s IR website. It is now my pleasure to introduce our Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Larry. Larry, please.

Larry Chen, Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Gaotu Tech EDU: Good evening and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us on Gaotu’s fourth quarter and fiscal year twenty twenty four earnings conference call. I would like to take this opportunity to express my gratitude to each of you for your interest and support of Gaotu. Before I start, I would like to remind everyone that all financial figures discussed today are quoted in RMB unless stated otherwise. Driven by our dual pillars of strategic focus and organizational capability enhancement, the value for customers has been comprehensively improved.

This quarter, quarter, we made substantial progress in both revenue growth and user expansion. Utilizing profound insights into user needs, we have developed a comprehensive spectrum of products and services that cover various learning scenarios, further enhancing the user experience and driving substantial high quality growth. What is particularly exhilarating is the breakthrough in cognitive reasoning achieved by AGI Technologies represented by DeepSeek, coupled with its outstanding cost efficiency. This innovation is not merely a technological leap, it acts as a powerful catalyst, sparkling the development of new generation of intelligent educational resolutions. Not only does this technological advancement aligns strongly with our existing AI strategy, but it also significantly accelerates our efforts to enhance learning effectiveness and pursuing the deep integration of AI within educational frameworks.

We are steadfast in commitment to the core educational principles of providing personalized and adaptive learning experiences for every learner. Our fourth quarter financial results underscore this positive momentum and dynamic growth as well as the strong resilience of our business. Revenue increased by 82.5% year over year to nearly $1,400,000,000 with gross billings billions significantly exceeding our expectations up by 69 to over 2,100,000,000.0. Loss from operations narrowed by 20.6% with operating margin improving by 13.9 percentage points, demonstrating our continued progress in profitability and the tangible impact of our efficiency driven initiatives. Additionally, we generated a net operating cash inflow of $783,600,000 this quarter, bringing our cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, short and long term investments to $4,100,000,000 as of 12/31/2024.

This robust cash position provides a solid foundation for our further strategic initiatives and long term sustainable embracing our AI strategy. We are dedicated to creating a personalized, efficient, and scalable system for learner growth and support as a and and the grasp the diverse needs of students and parents, deeply understand their pain points in the learning process and develop keen insights into the fundamental principles of education. These invaluable real world insights from the foundation of our innovation development, enabling us to offer students more tailored and targeted learning support, making the learning process more precise, intelligent and personalized. Moving forward, we will continue to invest in key areas such as technological development, talent cultivation and resource integration. We remain committed to exploring diverse AI treatment solutions in education and fostering more personalized learning environments that help students learn in ways that best suit their needs and lock their full potential and support their personal growth.

As we continue to optimize the user learning experience, we are simultaneously translating our technological prowess into tangible educational outcomes, achieving mutual a fold, leveraging 10 insights into user needs and generating dynamic content. Regarding homework, AI assisted engines are boosting teacher grading efficiency by over 50%. In study planning, the DeepSeq powered cross selection model is providing students with tailored data driven decision making support. This technological penetration now extends to core aspects, including research and development and curriculum design, creating a precise, intelligent and personalized educational service loop. Second, we remain committed to the essence of education, driving sustained growth through teaching excellence.

We firmly believe that refining educational products, enhancing teaching quality and optimizing learning services are fundamental to building a lasting competitive edge. To this end, we continue to invest in product development, fine tuning content and fostering close collaboration between instructors and tutors to ensure seamless integration curriculum and teaching services. In terms of curriculum development, we have built a diverse portfolio encompassing online large classes, one on one sessions, study aids, and books among others. Supported by AI driven recommendations and adaptive learning technology, we are able to deliver personalized learning solutions that cater to each student’s unique needs. This quarter, the retention rates for new enrollments in both our non academic tutoring and the traditional learning services showed steady improvement, highlighting the effectiveness of our efforts in enhancing educational products and learning services and the strong recognition of our teaching outcomes by users.

Third, we actively uphold the social responsibilities aligning long term shareholder value with broader societal impact. Staying true to our original aspirations, we remain dedicated to promoting educational equity. As part of this effort, we have established the Beijing Gautou Foundation, leveraging our advanced technology and high quality educational resources to support the holistic development of rural students, broadening their perspectives and elevating the overall teaching capabilities of rural educators. We have also made solid progress in enhancing long term shareholder value. As of 02/21/2025, we have allocated nearly $47,500,000 for share buybacks including over 8,100,000.0 ADS bought back for 28,800,000.0 US dollars in 02/2024.

This represents 3.2% of our total outstanding shares as of the end of twenty twenty four reflecting a further improvement from 2023. These actions highlight our unwavering commitment to shareholder returns and reinforce our strong confidence in the company’s future. Looking ahead to 2025, guided by our healthy growth strategy, we will further advance our AI initiatives, driving innovation across the the remarks. Now, I will pass the call over to our CFO, Shannon, to walk you through the financial and operational details of the quarter.

Catherine Chen, Head of Investor Relations, Gaotu Tech EDU: Thank you, Larry, and thank you, everyone, for joining our call today. I will now walk you through our operating and financial performance for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ’20 ’20 ’4. This year, we demonstrated strong strategic perseverance in a rapidly evolving and changing market landscape, achieving key milestones in our business. As the scale of our business reaches new heights, we have established flexible and dynamic resource allocation mechanisms to continuously calibrate and guide our approach to steer the business toward sustainable growth. We ended the year on a high note with solid financial results and major business breakthroughs, further strengthening the competitive edge of our core operations.

During the fourth quarter, our revenue grew by 82.5% year over year, reaching an annual peak and increased by 29.4% sequentially, driven by the continued expansion of our active user base and long term accumulation of teaching excellence. Meanwhile, gross billings maintained strong growth momentum, rising by 69% year over year. These results not only underscore our business success in expanding market scale, but also highlight the increasing strength of our brand influence and growing market recognition. On the profitability front, a growing base of existing user contributed to improved margins, fully supported by the economics of scale. As a result, loss from operations for the quarter narrowed significantly year over year.

This progress reflects our success in maintaining a healthy unit economics model and driving greater operational efficiency, laying a solid foundation for long term growth. For the full year, net revenues increased by 53.8% year over year to approximately $4,600,000,000 while gross billings grew by 68.1% year over year to over $5,600,000,000 We generated $268,000,000 in net operating cash inflow for the year. As of 12/31/2024, our total cash position, including cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash and short and long term investments stood at 4,100,000,000.0 Excluding the impact of share repurchase, our cash reserves increased by $183,900,000 compared to the same time last year, ensuring ample financial flexibility to support business development. YAM provides a sufficient margin of safety for our strategic investments. Next (LON:NXT), I will walk you through the progress we have made during the quarter.

Learning services contributed more than 95% of net revenues. Breaking it down, nearly 85% of total revenues came from non academic tutoring services and other traditional learning services, representing a triple digit year over year increase. Focusing online academic tutoring services, our new initiatives remain dedicated to driving continuous innovation in educational products and learning services to enhance teaching effectiveness and the overall learning experience. By introducing new products and diverse interactive course formats, we are constantly igniting students’ interest in learning, fostering cognitive growth, improving practical skills, cultivating critical thinking and instilling lifelong learning abilities. During the quarter, this segment sustained strong growth momentum, achieving triple digit year over year growth in gross billings for the third consecutive quarters.

Our ongoing refinement of both educational products and teaching approaches has also contributed to improved retention, with retention rate for new students rising by more than five percentage points year over year. Our traditional learning services continue to maintain a leading position in the online education sector. On the product development front, we further enhanced our content mode by building a comprehensive, multi tiered ecosystem of teaching assistants and books to meet the diverse learning needs of students at different levels. Our self developed book series has been adopted by schools across multiple provinces in China. This highlights the strong demand for our products and expands our brand presence and market rates.

In terms of teaching quality and services, key performance indicators such as retention rates and user satisfaction remain at industry leading levels, reaffirming the strength of our offerings and supporting sustained healthy growth of our business. The other crucial component of our learning services is educational services for college students and adults. Through strategic focus and streamlined optimization, core offerings in this segment gained robust growth momentum, contributing nearly 15% of total revenues in the quarter. We have leveraged AI technology to enhance the teaching model for our educational services for college students, significantly improving teaching efficiency and enabling a sustainable increase in the tutor to student ratio. Additionally, ongoing enhancements in product and service quality further optimize the overall user experience, leading to a steady rise in referrals and creating a self reinforcing word-of-mouth effect.

From a financial perspective, Gart’s billings for this segment grew by high double digit growth year over year this quarter, while revenue doubled compared to the same period last year. On a full year basis, both revenue and gross billings experienced rapid expansion. And for the first time, the segment hit profitability on an annual basis, with operating net cash inflow reaching 3.5 times that of the prior year. This marks a major milestone in our path towards more sustainable operations. Our overseas test prep business continues to demonstrate its professional value.

This year, we successfully helped students gain admission to Harvard, Columbia, Cornell and other Ivy League schools and other prestigious international universities, highlighting the effectiveness of our service offerings. These achievements stem from our deep understanding of user needs and our ongoing commitment to service quality and the process excellence. Looking ahead, we will remain focused on the technological innovation and deepening user value to drive high quality growth. By leveraging cutting edge AI technologies, a diverse product portfolio and unique advantage of rich learning scenarios, we aim to deliver user centric, personalized and high effective learning solutions, establishing ourselves as the most trusted partner in every learner’s journey. I will now present our financials in more detail.

Our cost of revenue this quarter was $440,300,000 Gross profit increased 77.8% year over year to $948,300,000 with a gross margin of 68.3%. Total (EPA:TTEF) operating expenses during the quarter increased 52.2% year over year to approximately 1,100,000,000.0 Breaking it down, selling expenses this quarter increased 58.1% year over year to RMB766.2 million, accounting for 53% of net revenue. Research and development expenses increased 6.6% year over year to $145,100,000 accounting for 10.4% of net revenues. General and administrative expenses increased 81.1 year over year to $216,400,000 dollars accounting for 15.6% of net revenues. The notable increase was attributable to our proactive talent acquisition efforts to support the expansion of our product portfolio, including onboarding industry professionals with extensive experience and strong management capabilities, as well as certain one time expense associated with business adjustments.

Loss from operations was $139,300,000 narrowing by 20.6% year over year. Operating margin improved by 13.9 percentage points year over year to negative 10.7%. Non GAAP loss from operations was $137,000,000 and non GAAP operating margin was negative 9.9%. Net loss was $135,800,000 and net income margin was negative 9.8. Non GAAP net loss was $123,500,000 dollars and GAAP net income margin was negative 8.9%.

Net operating inflow was $783,600,000 Now turning to our balance sheet. As of 12/31/2024, we held $1,300,000,000 in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash, along with $1,800,000,000 in short term investments and RMB922.7 million in long term investments. This comes to a total of RMB4.1 billion. As of 12/31/2024, our deferred revenue balance was approximately RMB2.1 billion, primarily consisting of tuition received in loans. As of the most recent trading day, we repurchased an aggregate of approximately 16,300,000.0 ADS on the open market for approximately RMB $350,000,000 under the existing share repurchase program.

We will accelerate the execution of share buybacks in the forthcoming open window in accordance with the Board of Directors guidance to create long term value for our shareholders. Before I provide our business outlook for the next quarter, please allow me to remind everyone that this contains forward looking statements, which involve risks and uncertainties beyond our control and could cause the actual results to differ materially from our predictions. Based on our current estimates, total net revenues for the first quarter of twenty twenty five are expected to be between $14.00 $8,000,000 and $1,428,000,000 dollars representing an increase of 48.7% to 50.8% on a year over year basis. This concludes my prepared remarks. Operator, we are now ready for the Q and A section.

Thank you everyone for listening.

Conference Operator: The first question comes from Elsie Shun with CLFA. Please go ahead.

Elsie Shun, Analyst, CLFA: Thank you for taking my question and hello Larry, Shannon and Kathleen. So my question is mainly on the guidance. You provided a strong growth, revenue growth in first quarter. Could you also elaborate more on the margin outlook and also the guidance for 2025 full year? Thank you.

Catherine Chen, Head of Investor Relations, Gaotu Tech EDU: Okay. Welcome, Elsie, and thanks for your questions. So during our last earnings call, we shared our expectations for the overall financial performance in 2024. So looking at a full year, last year, we achieved RMB5.6 billion in gross billings and RMB4.55 billion in revenue. So in Q4 alone, our gross billings already exceeded RMB2.16 billion, contributing around 39% of the year’s total.

At the same time, our student enrollment actually hit a record high after the new initiatives. So given the relatively fast growth targets for 2024, we gathered extensive student data and feedbacks on our products, which provided a more clear direction for enhancing our product quality. This also laid a solid foundation for our data accumulation and experience optimization in AI era. So also through all the faster growth process, our team has undergone significant development with improvements in capabilities. A cohort of outstanding leaders has merged those who excel in teaching quality, meticulous services and operational excellence.

These are all the most valuable assets and achievements for our organization in the year of 2024. So looking ahead to 2025, we will place greater emphasis on enhancing the inspiration and engagement in student learning, optimizing our user experience and ensure the scientific solution of our comprehensive learning, while at the same time, our operation will be more focused on a more efficiency driven approach. On one hand, as our business continues to expand, we want to further strengthen and refine our top teaching talents. And on the other hand, we have already embedded AI into basically all aspects of our operations from content creation, data feedback and teaching support and like real time Q and A section, as well as internal process organizations, etcetera. We’ve been working closely with major AI large scale models to optimize all the above mentioned processes.

As a result, we are highly confident in achieving greater operational efficiency and enhancing profitability in 2025. So leveraging the momentum of strong growth in Q4 in 2024, we anticipate achieving profitability at the net profit level in Q1 twenty twenty five, while maintaining the fast revenue growth momentum. Thanks, Elkie. Hope that address your question.

Elsie Shun, Analyst, CLFA: Yes, it’s very clear. Thank you.

Conference Operator: The next question comes from Crystal Lee with China Merchant (SS:600999) Securities. Please go ahead.

Catherine Chen, Head of Investor Relations, Gaotu Tech EDU: Okay. Thank you. Thanks management for taking my questions and congratulations on your strong results. I just have one question on AI. Given the rapid development in AI, how strongly integrating AI into your core operations and what measurable improvements have you seen in your business?

Thank you. Thanks, Crystal, for your question. AI is a really hot topic right now and it’s become more popular after DeepSeq launched their R1 model. So AI is reshaping education in multiple ways, including personalized learning, automated assessment, intelligent tutoring and enhanced operational efficiencies. So for us, it’s both an opportunity and a challenge requiring a strategic approach to integration.

AI can also provide personalized learning paths for each student by analyzing their data, dynamically adjusting content based on the students’ learning progress, their interest and even their weakness. AI driven adaptive learning platforms will significantly enhancing learning efficiency, and it can solve the problem that all the educators have been dreaming for thousands of years that we can provide a more adaptive learning content to each of the individual. So and at the same time, AI can automatically generate educational content such as exercises, course outlines and even video lectures and continuously optimize them based on student feedback. And the cost of producing those educational content will decrease significantly, update cycles will shorten and content quality will improve through AI driven optimization. Right after this earnings call, we just received a message saying that the Big Siq that they further reduced their cost.

And AI will handle more repetitive and fundamental teaching tasks, freeing teachers to focusing on individual student needs and fostering creative thinking. AI should augment, not replace educators, especially leveraging AI for efficiency while maintaining human integration sorry, interactions for creativity and emotional intelligence. AI technology will profoundly reshape the education product in the medium and long term, driving innovations and personalized learning, intelligent tutoring and content generation and data analytics. So we would actively embrace these changes, invest in AI research and applications, especially for the scientific learning solutions and address data privacy and ethics concerns to ensure that these technologies can serve the long term interest of education. And through continuous innovation and optimization, we’ll maintain a competitive edge in the market and provide students with more efficient, equitable and personalized learning experience.

And our investment in AI will focus on applications and solutions, aiming to provide our students and parents with the learning journeys that the students really enjoy and the parents can trust and that also carry warmth and inspirations. This build upon our deep understanding of education products and our insights into the education system. And our investment will also be flexible, adapted and adjusted in response to the development and evolution of AI technology. And also, as I just mentioned in my prepared remarks, we actually have embedded AI into basically all aspects of our operations. We already started to leverage the power of AI to improve our learning context and basically like all the operating processes.

And hopefully, in the near future, we can develop a really innovative and really the student can really like the learning product that we provided to them. Thanks, Crystal. Thanks.

Conference Operator: This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Catherine Chen for any closing remarks.

Catherine Chen, Head of Investor Relations, Gaotu Tech EDU: Thank you, operator, and thank you, everyone, for joining the call today. If you have any further questions, please don’t hesitate to contact our Investor Relations department or our management via e mail at irgau2. Cn directly. You are also welcome to subscribe to our news alert on the company’s IR website. Thank you very much again for your time.

Have a great night.

Conference Operator: The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today’s presentation. You may now disconnect.

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