Market Overview

The PCE price index increased by 0.4% vs. an estimated 0.5% monthly. Likewise, the core PCE price index increased by 0.1% vs. an estimated 0.2%.The Fed’s decision to maintain the interest rate...

The Fed’s “soft landing” hopes are likely overly optimistic. Such was the context of our recent report, which discussed the long record of the Fed’s economic growth...

Greenback to take a breather after 8-weeks long rally; direction remains bullish Similarly, oil could retest $90 Fed actions, bond market shifts, and speculative positions to tell the market direction...

Stocks closed higher yesterday, with the S&P 500 rising by around 60 bps. Bond yields also stabilized, with the 10-year falling by three bps to close about 4.57%.The day saw a lot of volatility in...

Stocks were in for a wild trading day, with the S&P 500 firmly in a negative gamma regime. It means that wild swings will persist as long as this case, and there was a pretty good example of that...

One thing I’ve stopped worrying very much about is a government shutdown. It could even be a good thing, given the bloated deficit, except for the fact that the government basically keeps...

Earlier this month I wrote that there was still room for debating if a broad-based risk-off signal was brewing. Three weeks later, the space is narrowing for keeping an open mind, based on several...

Current selloff in stocks is absolutely normal and expected Despite the declines and investors' overreactions to it, we are still in the green for the year Short-term pain is a key part of the journey...

Stocks finished yesterday lower by around 1.5% on the S&P 500, while the Nasdaq 100 QQQ declined by about 1.5%. Meanwhile, rates continued to climb, with the 30-year climbing to about 4.69%, as...

This was a very interesting week if you were paying attention. On Tuesday, the market declined and then saw a sizeable rally begin later in the day. Then on Wednesday, the market continued its...

Late last year, and into early 2023, the crowd was all in on the inevitability of a US recession starting in the near future. A Bloomberg headline captured the zeitgeist as the new year dawned:...

In 60 seconds, here's my list of 5 Most Important Trading Rules

Permabears tend to lose out on gains as they sell at the first sign of trouble But selling during bear markets is not the key to long-term investing success Weathering market volatility is crucial to...

Stocks finished yesterday's session higher, climbing by 40 bps. Most of the gains came in the final minutes. It was clear that the 0-DTE crowd was trying to close the S&P 500 index over the 4,330...