Market Overview

Since the beginning of 2022, the media has regularly warned a recession is coming. As we suggested previously, if a recession DID occur, it would be the most well-forecasted recession ever on...

It’s been clear for some time that US recession risk has been sliding in recent months, but this week’s updates of a widely followed GDP nowcast published by the Atlanta Fed has been...

Is China's crackdown on economic news sufficient for another Big Short? Immortalized by Christian Bale in The Big Short, Dr. Michael Burry is stirring ‘animal spirits’ in the stock market...

The Fed’s next rate move and its higher-for-longer policy mantra are predicated on high and sticky inflation. Inflation has fallen nicely from its peak but not enough to sway the Fed to...

Retail sales in the US have been resilient in the first half of 2023, despite concerns about a recession However, there are some warning signs that signal a slowdown in the coming months Earnings from...

Recession forecasts continue to swirl in some corners of the economics profession, but early econometric estimates for third-quarter GDP data suggest that the expansion will persist for now.US output...

The LERI shows Q2 2023 ended with the highest level of corporate uncertainty in the last year Retail in the spotlight this week: HD, TGT, TJX, WMT, ROST Upcoming potential surprise:...

Unusual turbulence has overtaken the Credit Ratings world in 2023 Earlier this year, the SVB crisis sparked doubts about Agencies' ability to predict a crisis Now, Moody's and Fitch's subsequent US...

Tax receipts are falling, which has historically preceded economic recessions. In a recent post, we discussed the issue of rising debt levels on economic growth and increasing debt levels. To...

The consumer price index data published this morning that showed a continuation of the disinflationary forces was well received by the markets initially as traders thought this leaves the door open...

The economy has marched forward, ignoring higher interest rates and consistent calls for a recession. Credit goes to “We The People,” the citizens of the U.S.A shout-out also goes to...

Fitch Ratings sent shockwaves through the financial world last week when it unexpectedly downgraded the United States' credit rating from AAA to AA+.This represents only the second time in U.S....

Investors continue to price in high odds that the Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes are history after last month’s quarter-point increase. But the latest comments by several central bank...

If it sounds too good to be true, it's definitely not true! Anyone promising returns over 15% per year should be asked why they're not counted among the greatest investors like Warren Buffett,...