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Risk off Remains the Dominant ThemeIt was “risk off” again first thing this morning as Europe’s leading indexes fell along with US index futures following Wednesday’s selling....
Stocks finished sharply lower as rates reached new cycle highs on the long end of the curve, and the yield curve steepened. This led to a drop of about 1.3% on the S&P 500, bringing the index down...
The US recession forecasts persist for some analysts, but the start date keeps moving forward as incoming economic data continues to reflect strength. The trend is reflected in today’s upwardly...
Yesterday was a busy day for stocks, as rates exploded to the upside following the hot retail sales report. This led to a sharp decline in the morning for stocks, only for the declines to be erased...
Bloomberg recently penned a great piece on the “Law of Unintended Consequences.” To wit: “There is only one true law of history, and that is the law of unintended consequences. In...
5 Stories Impacting Gold Forex Stocks This Week:1. Israel-Hamas Conflict and impact on markets 2. US Earnings Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) 3. US Retail Sales Reports 4. US Fed Chair...
Stocks were up yesterday by around 1.1% on the S&P 500, but we have gone nowhere now in a week, so the bulls are making no progress. The question in front of us is which way the index will break,...
US dollar has continued to gain ground after taking a breather on the weekend Meanwhile, both crude oil and gold have experienced minor corrections following their significant surges Another price...
This week’s economic calendar may not be as packed with data, but it will feature a 20-year Treasury auction and a Q&A session with Jay Powell at the Economic Club of New York, just before...
Today marks a year since the S&P 500 ended its bear market A lot has changed since then, but the US economy still hasn't entered recession The future might look bleak because of the current...
As the soft landing narrative grows, the risk of a 'crisis event in the economy increases. Will the Fed trigger another crisis event? While unknown, the risk seems likely as the Fed’s...
Stocks finished lower following a hotter-than-expected CPI report and a weak 30-year Treasury auction. The CPI data knocked the indexes off their pre-market highs, while the weak Treasury sent rates...
Who knew that the big risk this year was a US economy that would be too hot? Coming into 2023, strategists were bearish following the market’s drubbing the previous year. The consensus...
The September CPI report is due Thursday and is expected to show headline annual inflation rising 3.6% compared to the 3.7% reading seen in August. Overall, while the trend is lower, I believe the...
On October 5, 2023, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen made a very telling statement about the future course of interest rates. YELLEN SAYS DEBT SERVICE COSTS WILL BE 1% OF GDP FOR THE NEXT DECADE....