Market Overview

The term “Bond Vigilantes” is a nostalgic twist on an old-west theme. In the nineteenth century, the American West formed self-appointed groups, or committees, to seize the duties of law...

After raising rates in July, the Federal Reserve is all but certain to skip tightening at its policy meeting next week. Fed Chair Powell will likely hint that a rate hike in November is very much a...

Predicting the stock market is impossible, and even dominant players can fall from grace eventually History has shown that new technological trends, or revolutions often lead to disappointment in the...

But before we begin, I want to take this opportunity to remind you that we have reviewed many larger banks in our public articles. But I must warn you: The substance of that analysis is not looking...

Ever since the 30-year Treasury bond yield (one ‘top-down’ macro tool to gauge the environment so that we may invest in, speculate upon, or avoid certain situations, accordingly) broke its...

US consumer inflation rose more than expected in August, but the surprise jump hasn’t persuaded markets to abandon expectations that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at...

Oil prices extended 10-month highs on Wednesday. Meanwhile, annual inflation rose higher than expected to 3.7% in August.Oil prices soared to the highest since November 2022 on Wednesday...

Despite surging interest rates, there are few signs they are impeding economic activity or causing distress amongst borrowers. It may seem strange that higher rates are not proving troublesome for an...

The monthly GDP numbers have been highly volatile, but we do expect slower growth over the coming months as the cooler jobs market and higher rates continue to biteThe UK economy contracted by half a...

The inflation data forecasts are pointing toward two contrasting scenarios The Core CPI could decline, while the CPI could inch up But the question still remains: How will the actual data affect the...

How US inflation report affects the US dollar and stocks

Markets are torn. Will the ECB hike this week or not? We think it will, but we look at how different scenarios can impact rates and FX. Even in our base case, we suspect that convincing markets that...

In the short-run, energy stocks are outperforming the S&P 500.The Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) is at its lowest point since 1983, at 347 million barrels. Established in 1975 from the fallout...

Global markets have enjoyed a strong rebound this year following 2022’s rout, but recent turbulence suggests that previous highs reached will remain elusive for the near term.The good news for...