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Investing in US stocks by way of risk factors has been a humbling experience this year. Short of a miraculous rally between now and Friday’s close, this realm of financial engineering is on...
In this year’s write-up, I will review my ten predictions for 2023. Anything can happen, but this exercise has a point, which helps me lay out a game plan and thought process for the path that...
Trading and investing are much more complex and challenging than most people think. While countless books have been written about how to trade and invest, most skip over what I consider to be the...
Fed’s Powell affirms rate hikes to continue in 2023, but markets show doubt Economist Roubini sees a prolonged recession as issues mount Central bankers need to do a better job, and more dissent...
There was nothing at all surprising about the Fed leaning against the exuberance of the market last week The Fed's target of a 2% inflation rate remains very far-fetched In the meantime, higher...
The week of Dec. 19 will be anything but slow and quiet. There will be a ton of economic data, and the highlights won’t come until Friday when we get PCE, the University of Michigan, durable...
The bond market seems to be unimpressed by the Fed’s policy path Bond yields have hardly budged since this week’s FOMC meeting The Fed will need to get financial conditions to tighten to...
GoldGold thoroughly enjoyed the gains on the back of the dollar index's weakness, which is sitting near the five and half month low. Traders are more optimistic about gold prices as there are...
The financial markets have been volatile this year, to say the least. And much of the volatility has been tied to inflationary concerns and rising interest rates via the Federal Reserve.That said,...
Inverted yield hikes in U.S. and Europe are forecasting recession Investor focus in Fed’s meeting is on inflation and rate forecasts Policymakers at the ECB and the Bank of England have mixed...
Inflation and the Fed once again are taking center stage for investors. First, were signs of wages inflation being hotter than expected to start December. Next came an unwelcome increase in the...
Core CPI is more likely to surprise to the upside than to the downside on Tuesday Still, save for an outlier inflation reading, the Fed will raise rates by 50bps on Wednesday The equity market is...
Unless there is a huge CPI surprise, Fed is slated to raise rates by 0.5% The Fed could make a hawkish statement, which could rile markets There are two levels of market drivers: (1) tension between...
Hey, do you remember that awesome rally after Powell’s speech last week...and how the bulls were claiming victory as stocks went soaring above the 200 day moving average? Yes, that bout of...
Focus is likely to shift from the pace of rate hikes to their destination at the upcoming Fed meeting Currently, the market is pricing a significant amount of rate cuts in 2023. This may come at odds...