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RPT-GLOBAL MARKETS-European stocks recover before Fed minutes, Jackson Hole gathering

Published 21/08/2019, 10:19
© Reuters.  RPT-GLOBAL MARKETS-European stocks recover before Fed minutes, Jackson Hole gathering
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(Adds wider subscribers)

* Eyes on Fed minutes, Jackson Hole meeting for rate outlook

* Italy stocks lead European rally

* Germany's borrowing costs higher before bond sale

* U.S. President Trump says he had to 'take China on'

* Euro zone periphery govt bond yields http://tmsnrt.rs/2ii2Bqr

By Tom Arnold

LONDON, Aug 21 (Reuters) - European stocks opened higher on

Wednesday as hopes for more monetary and fiscal stimulus helped

assuage worries about global recession, political turmoil in

Italy and endless trade wars.

Traders are waiting for the Federal Reserve's annual Jackson

Hole symposium later this week and a Group of Seven summit this

weekend for clues on what steps policymakers will take to boost

economic growth.

Much depends on what the Fed does with U.S. interest rates,

making markets hyper-sensitive to the minutes - due later on

Wednesday - of its last meeting.

"People are looking ahead to Jackson Hole later this week

and the message that [Fed Chairman] Jerome Powell may or may not

give us on the direction of monetary policy. That is the

highlight of the week and we are waiting with bated breath,"

said Andrew Milligan, head of global strategy at Aberdeen

Standard Investments.

Futures 0#FF: are fully priced for a quarter-point cut in

rates next month and cuts of more than 100 basis points by the

end of next year. FEDWATCH

Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) economist Ellen Zentner advised clients to

watch for the use of the word "somewhat" when Powell describes

future policy.

"Acknowledgment that downside risks have increased with no

characterisation of 'somewhat' could be taken as confirmation

that it is likely the Fed makes a larger cut in September,"

Zentner wrote in a note.

With so much riding on the Fed, investors were cautious and

volumes subdued. The Euro STOXX 600 .STOXX was 0.6% higher,

with Italy .FTMIB outperforming after a rout yesterday

following the resignation of Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe

Conte. Shares in Milan-listed Fiat Chrysler FCHA.MI climbed 3.1%

after Italian media reported that talks between Fiat and Renault

RENA.PA never stopped. That put the STOXX 600 Autos Index

.SXAP on track for its best day in a month.

GEA Group G1AG.DE , a German food-processing-machinery

company, and outsourcing group Capita CPI.L gained more than

5% after Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) upgraded its rating on the stocks.

President Donald Trump showed no signs of backing down in

his tussle with China, declaring on Tuesday a confrontation was

necessary even if it hurt the U.S. economy in the short term.

Shortly afterward, the U.S. government approved an $8

billion sale of Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) LMT.N F-16 fighter jets to

Taiwan, a move sure to draw Beijing's ire and further dim

prospects for a trade deal.

Political turmoil in Italy, Britain and Hong Kong has also

heightened uncertainties.

Italian bond yields steadied after falling on Tuesday, as

Italian President Sergio Mattarella begins two days of talks

that will lead either to formation of the country's 67th

government since World War Two or to early elections.

Germany bond yields rose before the sale of new 30-year

government bonds that could test investor demand for deeply

negative bond yields. Germany plans to sell 2 billion euros of

the new bond, with a 0% coupon STIMULUS

Alarm bells started ringing last week when yields on U.S.

10-year notes fell below two-year yields for the first time

since 2007, an inversion that has preceded previous recessions.

That was enough to prompt Trump's administration to look for

ways to stimulate the U.S. economy In addition, the central banks of the euro zone, Australia

and China are all expected loosen monetary policy some more

this year. Germany is considering fiscal stimulus.

Those prospects have driven yields lower. Benchmark U.S.

10-year Treasury yields US10YT=RR stood at 1.57% on Wednesday,

down from a high of 1.625% on Monday.

Currency markets were mostly subdued. The euro struggled was

last down 0.1% at $1.1092 EUR=EBS . The dollar, measured

against a basket of currencies, rose 0.1% to 98.265 .DXY .

Sterling was down 0.3% at $1.2134 GBP=D3 and 0.2% against

the euro at 91.405 pence EURGBP=D3 .

In commodities markets, U.S. crude CLc1 rose 17 cents to

$56.30 per barrel. Brent LCOc1 added 23 cents to $60.26.

Spot gold XAU= was weaker at $1,498.15 an ounce.

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