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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks gain as investors welcome preliminary U.S.-China trade deal

Published 16/12/2019, 13:31
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks gain as investors welcome preliminary U.S.-China trade deal
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* STOXX 600 index hits record high

* Euro business growth remains weak - PMI

* FTSE 100, sterling move higher in tandem

By Ritvik Carvalho

LONDON, Dec 16 (Reuters) - World stock markets rose on

Monday, trading a notch below a record high hit last week on the

back of a preliminary trade deal agreed between the United

States and China.

European shares built on the previous week's gains. By

midday in London, the pan-European STOXX 600 .STOXX index was

up by 1.2% and touched a record high. Germany's DAX .GDAXI

rose 0.6%.

Britain's FTSE 100 .FTSE index was up 1.14%, moving in

tandem with a buoyant pound that rose 0.3%, adding to gains last

week on the back of a landslide victory for Prime Minister Boris

Johnson's Conservative Party in the UK election. .EU GBP/

U.S. stock futures also pointed to stronger gains to start

the week, with the S&P 500 e-minis ESc1 up 0.36%.

U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer said on Sunday a

deal was "totally done", notwithstanding some needed revisions,

and would nearly double U.S. exports to China over the next two

years. The "phase one" agreement suspended a threatened round of

U.S. tariffs on a $160 billion list of Chinese imports that was

scheduled to take effect on Sunday. The United States also

agreed to halve the tariff rate, to 7.5%, on $120 billion worth

of Chinese goods.

"It's good news but we can't celebrate yet," said Mark

Mobius, founding partner of Mobius Capital Partners.

"There's going to be a lot more going forward. This

agreement is dependent on the degree to which the Chinese

comply. This conversation will continue as there's so many

issues. It's not just about trade. Its about technical issues,

know-how, technology...So there'll be a continuing situation."

The 17-month-old trade dispute between the world's two

largest economies has buffeted financial markets and taken a

toll on global economic growth.

Euro zone business growth remained weak in December, with

tepid foreign demand exacerbating a contraction in manufacturing

and offsetting a slight pick-up in services activity, although

some analysts saw signs of stabilisation. Positive sentiment helped push MSCI's All Country World

Index .MIWD00000PUS up 0.25%. The index, which tracks stocks

across 47 countries, reached an all-time high on Friday when the

trade deal was agreed.

Earlier in Asia, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific

shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS to its highest level since

April 18. It was last up 0.14%.

Australia's S&P/ASX 200 .AXJO led the way as it jumped

1.63%, while shares in Taiwan .TWII added 0.1%.

Japan's Nikkei 225 .N225 succumbed to some profit-taking,

falling 0.29% after surging 2.55% to a 14-month closing high on

Friday.

Ryan Felsman, senior economist at CommSec in Sydney, said

the trade deal and the receding risk of a disorderly Brexit

after the British election yielded a strong Conservative

majority provided support for sentiment in Australia.

A lower-than-expected Australian budget surplus due to a

sluggish economy has also "built expectations by markets for

further easing from the Reserve Bank (of Australia)", he said.

Chinese investors initially had a more tepid reaction to the

trade news, with the blue-chip CSI300 index .CSI300 struggling

to rise further after trade hopes fanned a near 2% rise on

Friday.

But after a lacklustre morning session, the CSI300 index

turned higher and was last up 0.5%, helped by data showing the

country's industrial output growth and retail sales jumped more

than expected in November. Felsman at CommSec said investors wanted more details and

the reduction in U.S. tariffs may have disappointed some looking

for more aggressive action.

"Certainly there were expectations perhaps that the rollback

would be more significant than just 50%," he said.

U.S. shares had struck a cautious note on Friday, paring

initial gains to end barely higher as weary investors awaited

signs of a concrete deal.

However, the news of a deal was still enough to send the S&P

500 .SPX to a record closing high of 3,168.8, up 0.01%.

The Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 0.2% to end at 8,734.88,

also a record, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose

0.01% to 28,135.38.

U.S. Treasury yields moved higher on Monday, reflecting a

more positive mood. Benchmark 10-year Treasury notes US10YT=RR

rose to 1.8452% compared with their U.S. close of 1.821% on

Friday, and the two-year yield US2YT=RR touched 1.6304%

compared with a U.S. close of 1.604%.

The dollar was slightly higher against the yen at 109.45

JPY= and the euro was up 0.22% at $1.1144. EUR=

The dollar index .DXY , which tracks the greenback against

a basket of six major rivals, was down 0.19% at 96.984.

Oil prices, which had risen on Friday following the

China-U.S. deal, hovered near three-month highs. Brent crude was

higher by 0.3% at $65.35 per barrel, and U.S. West Texas

Intermediate crude CLc1 was flat at $60.05 per barrel.

Spot gold prices XAU= were flat at $1,476.10 per ounce.

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