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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares bounce as stimulus hopes stem rout, for now

Published 10/03/2020, 05:26
Updated 10/03/2020, 05:27
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares bounce as stimulus hopes stem rout, for now
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* Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

* S&P 500 futures rally 2.5%, Treasury yields up sharply

* Asia shares jump 1%, Nikkei pares early losses

* Oil prices bounce after huge drop

* Markets cling to hope of monetary, fiscal stimulus

By Wayne Cole

SYDNEY, March 10 (Reuters) - Asian shares bounced and bond

yields rose from historic lows on Tuesday as speculation of

coordinated stimulus from global central banks and governments

calmed panic selling.

Yields on benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury debt more than

doubled to 0.70% and oil prices rallied over 7%, offering hope

that markets had found a floor, even just fleetingly.

"Talk of coordinated fiscal and monetary support is getting

louder," said Rodrigo Catril, a senior FX strategist at National

Australia Bank, noting U.S. President Donald Trump was promising

"major" steps to support the economy. Trump plans a news conference later on Tuesday to lay out

proposed measures and dealers reported rumours Treasury

Secretary Steve Mnuchin was pushing for radical action.

Investors seemed to take heart with E-Mini futures for the

S&P 500 ESc1 rallying 2.5% after an early slide. EUROSTOXX 50

futures STXEc1 also rose 1.7%.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS jumped nearly 1%, having shed more than 5% on

Monday. Australia .AXJO rose 0.9% as some went hunting for

bargains in beaten down stocks. Japan's Nikkei .N225 eased

0.3%, but was well above early lows. .T

Wall Street had been on the brink of a bear market with all

the major indices down almost 20% from their all-time peak,

which amazingly were touched just 13 sessions ago.

The Dow .DJI fell an eye-watering 7.79%, while the S&P 500

.SPX lost 7.60% and the Nasdaq .IXIC 7.29%.

Energy stocks had led the losses as markets braced for a

price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia. O/R

A steadier tone on Tuesday saw Brent crude futures LCOc1

add $2.50 to $36.86 a barrel, while U.S. crude CLc1 bounced

$2.14 to $32.27.

Yet headlines on the coronavirus were still no brighter with

Italy ordering everyone across the country not to move around

other than for work and emergencies, while banning all public

gatherings. "Although uncertainty is very high, we now expect similar

restrictions will be put in place across Europe in the coming

weeks," warned economists at JPMorgan.

"We are now expecting a rolling 1H20 global growth

contraction and a powerful global disinflationary wave to take

hold," they added. "We expect the Fed to cut to zero at or

before its March 18 meeting."

ONUS ON CENTRAL BANKS

Such has been the conflagration of market wealth, that

analysts assumed policy makers would have to react aggressively

to prevent a self-fulfilling economic crisis.

The U.S. Federal Reserve on Monday sharply stepped up the

size of its fund injections into markets to head off stress.

Having delivered an emergency rate cut only last week,

investors are fully pricing an easing of at least 75 basis

points at the next Fed meeting on March 18, while a cut to near

zero was now seen as likely by April. 0#FF:

Britain's finance minister is due to deliver his annual

budget on Wednesday and there is much talk of coordinated

stimulus with the Bank of England. The European Central Bank meets on Thursday and will be

under intense pressure to act, even though rates there are

already deeply negative. "Italy's decision to quarantine the whole country will

affect 15% of Europe's GDP, putting thee ECB at the forefront of

efforts to cushion the escalating economic deterioration," said

Brian Martin, a senior international economist at ANZ.

"We expect interest rates to be cut, forward guidance to be

enhanced and emergency liquidity measures aimed at supporting

SMEs and supply-chain finance to be implemented."

Bonds had charged ahead of the central banks to essentially

price in a global recession of unknown length.

Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasuries US10YT=RR reached as low

as 0.318% on Monday - a level unthinkable just a week ago - but

rose back to be last at 0.6662% on Tuesday amid the stimulus

chatter.

That in turn helped the dollar recoup some of its recent

hefty losses to reach 103.82 yen JPY= , edging away from

Monday's three-year trough around 101.17.

The euro eased back to $1.1392 EUR= , after climbing 1.4%

on Monday to the highest in over 13 months at $1.1492.

Gold was restrained to $1,667.62 per ounce XAU= amid talk

some investors were having to sell to raise cash to cover margin

calls in stocks and other assets. GOL/

Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA

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