* E-mini S&P 500 futures rise 1%, oil steadies, dollar gains
pause
* MSCI AxJ losses muted compared with Wall St plunge
* Volatility gauges surge as U.S. election looms
* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
By Tom Westbrook
SINGAPORE, Oct 29 (Reuters) - Asia's stock markets fell on
Thursday, but without the panic selling seen in Europe and the
United States, while U.S. futures jumped as investors tried to
get a grip on fears that fresh lockdowns could derail a recovery
from the COVID-19 pandemic.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
.MIAPJ0000PUS fell 0.6%, with the heaviest drops in Australia,
.AXJO down 1.6%, and South Korea .KS11 , down 1%.
Japan's Nikkei .N225 fell just 0.3%, Chinese blue chips
.CSI300 rose 0.5% and the yuan led a gentle bounce in Asian
currencies against the greenback. FRX/
That was a far cry from the biggest falls on Wall Street and
in Europe in months on Wednesday, highlighting Asia's emergence
from a pandemic that has the rest of the world still mired.
Traders lifted S&P 500 futures ESc1 1% with the mood, and
on hopes that spiking volatility might mean a swift rebound.
European futures STXEc1 rose half a percent and FTSE futures
FFIc1 rose 0.3%.
"Asia is not really partaking in this second or third wave
story because it's got its COVID largely under control," said
Rob Carnell, chief economist in Asia at Dutch bank ING.
"As a result, domestic economies look reasonable."
As if to illustrate, Taiwan, which boasts Asia's
best-performing currency, marked its 200th straight day without
local transmission on Thursday, while France and Germany
prepared for lockdowns and as the virus sweeps across the U.S.
Midwest.
Oil also steadied on Thursday, with Brent futures up 0.2% at
$39.20 a barrel, after dropping 5% on Wednesday. O/R AUD/
Still, for the week so far the commodity, often regarded as
a proxy for global energy demand and growth, is down 6.2% and
world stocks .MIWD00000PUS down 4.7%, as the pandemic worsens
and a U.S. election looms.
"Until yesterday the market was travelling with the hope the
improvement of health care services in dealing with the pandemic
would prevent the introduction of severe lockdowns," National
Australia Bank FX strategist Rodrigo Catril said in a note.
"At least in Europe, this dynamic has now changed ... the
question now is whether U.S. states will follow."
FUNDAMENTALS
Economic data and a European Central Bank meeting are the
main focus later on Thursday, with gathering uncertainty about
Tuesday's U.S. election also keeping investors on edge.
The Bank of Japan made no changes to monetary policy
settings, as expected, though trimmed its growth forecasts to
reflect sluggish service spending during summer. Investors expect the European Central Bank to similarly hold
off on new measures, but to instead hint at action in December,
which is likely to keep a lid on the euro. The common currency EUR= hit a 10-day low on the dollar
and a hundred-day low on the yen EURJPY= on Wednesday, before
recovering slightly. It last bought $1.1752.
German unemployment and inflation data, European confidence
surveys and advance U.S. GDP figures will also be closely
watched - with the U.S. figure likely to show record growth, but
still leave the economy behind where it began 2020. "Any disappointment in these numbers may have a magnified
market impact, given the current weakness," said CMC Markets'
Sydney-based strategist, Michael McCarthy.
Investors are also increasingly wary of a contested U.S.
election result that could unleash a wave of risk-asset selling.
Wall Street's "fear gauge," the Cboe Volatility Index .VIX
surged on Wednesday to its highest level since June and implied
currency volatility indicates that a wild ride is expected.
The U.S. bond market, however, was somnolent as investors
looked past polling day and figured huge government borrowing
for coronavirus relief spending will happen no matter who wins.
Benchmark U.S. 10-year yields US10YT=RR rose overnight and
added about half a basis point on Thursday to 0.7877%.
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Global assets http://tmsnrt.rs/2jvdmXl
Global currencies vs. dollar http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
Emerging markets http://tmsnrt.rs/2ihRugV
MSCI All Country Wolrd Index Market Cap http://tmsnrt.rs/2EmTD6j
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