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GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares inch higher after Fed cut, BOJ keeps powder dry

Published 19/09/2019, 10:07
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares inch higher after Fed cut, BOJ keeps powder dry
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* Europe's shares inch higher after Fed rate cut

* BOJ on hold, as expected; disappoints some who hoped for a

* Bond yields nudge up but stay below recent highs

* Oil futures drift higher as geopolitical risks remain

* Sterling waits for BoE's latest rate meeting, Brexit view

By Marc Jones

LONDON, Sept 19 (Reuters) - A positive start in Europe

nudged the main world share indexes and bond yields higher on

Thursday, after the U.S. Federal Reserve's second interest rate

cut of the year while Japan and others kept their limited

remaining powder dry.

The effects of the trade war has seen central banks around

the world swing back into support mode this year, but the Fed's

central message on Wednesday was that it wasn't expecting a

major capitulation of the economy. The Bank of Japan and Switzerland's central bank then both

kept their deeply negative interest rates on hold. Brexit-bound

Britain was expected to do the same later, while an outlier hike

in Norway also came with a hint it would be the last.

It was enough to push London's FTSE, Frankfurt's Dax and

Paris, Milan and Madrid up between 0.2% and 0.8% in early moves

after a broadly subdued Asian session.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares .MIAPJ0000PUS

had ended down 0.5% as a 1% fall in Hong Kong .HSI and 1.1%

drop in India .NSEI offset 0.4% gains on Japan's Nikkei

.N225 and from China's bluechip stocks. .CSI300

In line with the view of no economic Armageddon, the

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benchmark government bond yields which act as a proxy for global

borrowing costs, also rose.

The more sensitive two-year U.S. yields US2YT=RR inched up

to 1.75% and Europe's key 10-year German Bund yield was up

around 2 basis points albeit still below highs hit last week and

at a mind-boggling -0.49%.

"This is not ‘QE4ever' as we've heard it called," analysts

at RBC said of the Fed's decision and signals. "We shouldn't go

too far in putting on QE-like trades”.

In the currency market, Bank of Japan's inaction saw the yen

JPY=EBS rise off a seven-week low versus an already lower

dollar .DXY and stage something of a jump against the

Australian dollar. AUDJPY=D3 /FRX

The BOJ had maintained its pledge to guide short-term

interest rates at minus 0.1% and the 10-year government bond

yield around 0%. It also signalled it could add stimulus as

early as next month but some traders had expected a move on

Thursday after the Fed's rate cut.

Yen bulls took the currency as far as 107.79 to the U.S.

dollar before it settled at 108.06 JPY=EBS for a gain of 0.4%

on the day. The move against the Aussie dollar had been as large

as 1%. AUDJPY=D3 .

"There were large yen-buying orders before the BOJ, and that

just carried through," said Tohru Sasaki, head of Japan markets

research at J.P. Morgan Securities in Tokyo.

BACK TO THE FUTURES

In contrast to Europe's upward shuffle, U.S. stock futures

ESc1 were pointing to modest 0.1%-0.2% falls for Wall Street

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later.

The S&P 500 .SPX had reversed losses and ended broadly

flat on Wednesday after Fed chief Jerome Powell said he did not

see an imminent recession or think the Fed will adopt negative

rates.

The Fed had cut interest rates to 1.75%-2.00% in a 7-3 vote

but made a point of saying U.S. labour market remains strong.

So-called dot-plot forecasts from all 17 policymakers also

showed disagreement, with seven expecting a third rate cut this

year, five seeing the current rate cut as the last for 2019, and

five who appeared to have been against even Wednesday's move.

"This is a small positive for share prices as long as there

is no recession," said Shane Oliver, head of investment strategy

and chief economist at AMP Capital Investors in Sydney.

"The only problem is a 25 basis-point cut was already

expected, and the comments and dot-plot forecasts were not as

dovish as the market hoped."

Elsewhere in the currency market, the Aussie fell 0.6% to

$0.6790 after data showed the nation's jobless rate rose

slightly to 5.3% in August, bolstering expectations for the

central bank to cut rates.

Sterling EURGBP=D3 traded at 88.53 pence per euro, near

its strongest level since May 30 ahead of a Bank of England

policy meeting later where uncertainty about how, when or maybe

even if the UK leaves the European Union remains the key issue.

Among commodities, U.S. crude futures CLc1 rose 0.31% to

$58.29 per barrel having largely stabilised after attacks in

Saudi Arabia over the weekend sent prices soaring on Monday.

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Washington has blamed Iran for the attacks, a charge which

Tehran denies. U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has said the

strike was "an act of war."

Bank of Japan negative interest rates https://tmsnrt.rs/31gPRDp

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