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GLOBAL MARKETS-Trade angst, growth scares haunt global stocks as bond yields slide

Published 03/10/2019, 13:29
Updated 03/10/2019, 13:30
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Trade angst, growth scares haunt global stocks as bond yields slide
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* U.S. tariffs on EU goods hit already weak sentiment

* U.S.-EU trade https://tmsnrt.rs/2pnDS9d

* Yields in U.S. Treasuries, German bunds slip

* Oil struggles amid worries on oversupply

By Karin Strohecker

LONDON, Oct 3 (Reuters) - World stocks hovered near

four-week lows on Thursday and yields on major benchmark bonds

slipped after Washington moved to impose new tariffs on European

goods, fuelling fears about global growth and dousing risk

appetite.

MSCI's index of world stocks .MIWD00000PUS slipped 0.2%.

The euro zone benchmark index .STOXXE eked out small gains

after suffering their worst day since the early August selloff

on Wednesday, when the U.S. got the go-ahead to impose tariffs

on $7.5 billion of European goods. Washington will enact 10% tariffs on Airbus AIR.PA planes

and 25% duties on French wine, Scotch and Irish whiskies and

cheese from across the continent as punishment for illegal EU

subsidies to Airbus.

But a reduction in the initial list propped up some sectors.

Food and beverage stocks and industrial goods enjoyed healthy

gains. France's CAC index .FCHI rose 0.3%. German markets -- a

weather vane for exports -- were closed for a national holiday.

Meanwhile, fresh data showed UK services activity

unexpectedly contracted, suggesting country was flirting with

recession. The FTSE 100 .FTSE , already in the grip of Brexit

uncertainties, extend losses to 0.8%. The latest U.S.-European trade tensions added to fears over

the standoff between Washington and Beijing, which has cast a

shadow over global growth prospects. Earlier in the week,

disappointing data on U.S. manufacturing and the jobs market

suggested the trade war with China had damaged the world's

largest economy.

"The big question for a lot of folks is whether this is the

third slowdown since the financial crisis or are we now heading

for a global recession," said Anujeet Sareen, a fixed income

portfolio manager and global macro strategist for Brandywine

Global, adding his base case scenario was for a slowdown.

"The wild card in the pack is always Donald Trump and

whatever he tweets next."

Asian shares had racked up losses earlier in the day.

Japan's Nikkei stock index .N225 closed down 2%, its biggest

one-day decline since Aug. 26.

U.S. stock futures ESc1 NQc1 indicated a flat opening

after shares fell the most in nearly six weeks on Wednesday. All

three major New York share indexes lost more than 1.5%.

"Risk aversion is broadly on the rise and that has been

triggered by the weakness in U.S. manufacturing ISM data earlier

this week," said Manuel Oliveri, an FX strategist at Credit

Agricole in London.

"The outperformance of the U.S. economy compared to other

major economies has held the dollar and other risky assets up

but that has changed this week."

The flight to safety saw yields on two-year U.S. Treasury

yields US2YT=RR slip to 1.4560%, nearing a two-year low of

1.4280%. Adding to pressure on yields was a weak U.S. jobs

report, boosting expectations the Federal Reserve will cut

interest rates this month.

Traders see a 74% chance the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis

points to 1.75%-2.00% in October, up from 39.6% on Monday,

according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. FEDWATCH

Bets on a rate cut could rise further if a U.S. non-farm

payrolls report on Friday shows weakness in the labour market.

Government bond yields in safe-haven Germany DE10YT=RR

fell for the first time in over a week. In currency markets, the dollar rebounded from against the

Japanese yen JPY=EBS to trade at 107.12 yen. It at $1.0955 per

euro EUR= . The dollar index .DXY traded unchanged.

Sterling GBP= was unfazed at $1.2306 despite a surprise

contraction as investors waited for a European Union response to

Britain's latest Brexit offer.

So far, the last-ditch Brexit proposal offered by Prime

Minister Boris Johnson on Wednesday has received a cool

reception. One senior EU official said it "can't fly" because it

was an unworkable move backwards that left Britain and the EU

far apart. Brent crude LCOc1 prices slipped 0.3% to $57.44 per

barrel. Energy traders are worried about a slowing global

economy, an over-supplied market and geopolitical friction in

the Middle East. O/R

European vs US earnings https://tmsnrt.rs/2nwHxBa

Global oil demand 2019 vs. oil prices https://tmsnrt.rs/2orh33R

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