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GLOBAL MARKETS-U.S. S&P500 heads for record high as stimulus bets lift world stocks

Published 11/08/2020, 12:34
Updated 11/08/2020, 12:36
© Reuters.
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* Dollar slipping and stocks on the march
* MSCI AxJ +1%, Nikkei +1.85%, Hang Seng +2.3%
* U.S.-China trade talks eyed
* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

(Upates throughout)
By Sujata Rao
LONDON, Aug 11 (Reuters) - Futures for the U.S. S&P Global
index hit a record high on Tuesday and world stocks rose to new
5-1/2 month peaks, lifted by bets on a U.S. fiscal stimulus
package and calm on the Sino-U.S. diplomatic front before a
crucial round of trade talks.
Investors are taking cheer from an order from President
Donald Trump restoring some enhanced unemployment payments and
suspending payroll taxes, setting the stage for the S&P500 index
.SPX to regain its February record highs. It closed around 1%
off those levels on Monday.
S&P500 futures jumped 0.7% EScv1 while a pan-European
equity index rose more than 2% .STOXX , with auto shares
leading the way after a surge in Chinese car sales .SXAP .
The mood is watchful as sparring continues in the U.S.
Congress over extending fiscal stimulus while economic data such
as a steep drop in South Korean exports and a rise in UK jobless
rates remain a cause for concern But upbeat comments by U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven
Mnuchin on the prospects for a bipartisan stimulus deal
supported Brent crude futures at near five-month highs LCOc1
and kept the dollar index near a one-week peak =USD .
Commerzbank analysts said markets were shrugging off doubts
over the legality of Trump's order and appeared convinced
Congress would agree a deal "Not without good reason, because in the election campaign
both parties have an interest in presenting themselves well,"
they said.
"Who wants to be seen as the stingy bad guy even in times of
great need?"
MSCI's global equity index rose 0.6% .MIWD00000PUS while
an Asian share benchmark ex-Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS gained nearly
1%. Japan's Nikkei .N225 climbed 1.9%.

There are also hopes Beijing's sanctions on 11 U.S. citizens
- a response to U.S. sanctions on Chinese individuals over the
Hong Kong crackdown - may end this round of tit-for-tat moves
between the two powers.
"It has left the White House untouched," said Vishnu
Varathan, head of economics at Mizuho Bank in Singapore.
"That gives some relief that China is still giving some
priority to the (trade deal) dialogue," he said.
U.S. and Chinese officials hold talks on Saturday to review
the first six months of the Phase 1 trade deal. While China is
lagging targets on energy and farm goods purchases from the
United States, markets seem confident trade ties will be
insulated from the diplomatic noise Such optimism kept safe haven assets under gentle pressure,
with gold XAU= falling under $2000 an ounce, down more than
2%. Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields US10YT=RR were near a
two-week high of 0.5870% while German yields likewise rose to
two-week highs DE10YT=RR

ONWARDS AND UPWARDS
Tuesday's gains follow a robust Wall Street session when the
Dow .DJI and S&P500 .SPX rose and investors rotated towards
value stocks and out of tech, reflecting optimism over the
growth outlook. Nasdaq futures were up 0.5% NQc1 .
On currencies, the euro firmed 0.5% against the dollar
EUR=EBS after a German investor sentiment survey showed more
improvement than expected However there have been
some signs of late the euro's 10% rally since March may lose
steam.
One factor underpinning the dollar's decline - and equity
strength - is the sharp fall in real, or inflation-adjusted,
Treasury yields.
But in a danger signal for the euro-dollar rally, German
real yields seem to have caught up with U.S. peers as euro zone
inflation expectations have risen. EUIL5YF5Y=

Risk-sensitive currencies, such as the Australian and New
Zealand dollars, firmed AUD=D3 NZD=D3 JPY=D3 while an
emerging currency index firmed 2.6% .MIEM00000PUS .
Even the battered Turkish lira bounced 1.3% after four
lossmaking sessions .MIEM00000PUS TRY= .

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Global assets http://tmsnrt.rs/2jvdmXl
Global currencies vs. dollar http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
Emerging markets http://tmsnrt.rs/2ihRugV
MSCI All Country Wolrd Index Market Cap http://tmsnrt.rs/2EmTD6j
German vs US real yields https://tmsnrt.rs/2PEuXdm
World stocks market cap https://tmsnrt.rs/2XO8NtE
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