Market Overview

The expected return for the Global Market Index (GMI) continued to edge higher in September from the previous month. Today’s revised long-run forecast for this benchmark — a...

Despite the expected selloff in September, we remain on track to a very positive year for stocks Bonds, on the other hand, can't seem to catch a break Historical data points to positive Q4 performance...

Stocks finished yesterday lower as rates pushed higher again and spreads widened. The 10-year climbed to 4.69%, and the help to spread between the ten and the two widened to -42 bps, which is...

Here's My Top 4 October 2023 Trading Tips for Gold, Stocks and ForexGot Octoberphobia?! 

Despite the ongoing challenges in the market, there are still reasons to be optimistic. Historically, we're entering a period of strong performance in for the S&P 500. With that in mind, we listed...

The week promises a plethora of economic data, starting this morning with the ISM manufacturing data at 10 AM. This will be followed by Jay Powell participating in a roundtable discussion with Philly...

The Fed’s “soft landing” hopes are likely overly optimistic. Such was the context of our recent report, which discussed the long record of the Fed’s economic growth...

Greenback to take a breather after 8-weeks long rally; direction remains bullish Similarly, oil could retest $90 Fed actions, bond market shifts, and speculative positions to tell the market direction...

Stocks were in for a wild trading day, with the S&P 500 firmly in a negative gamma regime. It means that wild swings will persist as long as this case, and there was a pretty good example of that...

One thing I’ve stopped worrying very much about is a government shutdown. It could even be a good thing, given the bloated deficit, except for the fact that the government basically keeps...

In 60 seconds, US Government Shutdown?How Does it Impact Stocks, Dollar and Gold?

Earlier this month I wrote that there was still room for debating if a broad-based risk-off signal was brewing. Three weeks later, the space is narrowing for keeping an open mind, based on several...

Current selloff in stocks is absolutely normal and expected Despite the declines and investors' overreactions to it, we are still in the green for the year Short-term pain is a key part of the journey...

We recently wrote about why it takes time for higher interest rates to inflict economic damage. We follow that up with a discussion of something equally worrying that also lags Fed rate...