Market Overview

A Universal Basic Income (UBI) sounds great in theory. According to a previous study by the Roosevelt Institute, it could permanently increase the U.S. economy by trillions of dollars. While such...

Trading is more than just long and short positions. Learn the deeper strategies that drive success.

The stock market appeared confused yesterday, reacting to the weekly jobless claims and continuing claims data as if the CPI report had come in 0.4% cooler than expected. The market has been trying...

It’s important for investors to follow stocks and bonds. And even more important to understand the relationship between them.   Today, we highlight the past 20-years of there relationship via the...

Judging by the current numbers, the US expansion almost certainly endures. There are well-founded concerns that the tide may be turning, but that’s still a speculative call. By comparison, published...

US stocks took another hit yesterday as the carry trade unwound and the effect was felt in Japan when the Nikkei 225 plunged. Since then, the Nikkei has rebounded 10.2%, almost erasing the 12.4%...

Economist Claudia Sahm developed the “Sahm Rule,” which states that the economy is in recession when the unemployment rate’s three-month average is a half percentage point above its 12-month low. As...

This year's biggest pivot point for the market may come today. Original Post

Not everybody is an options trader, but during an election year there is at least one binary option that most of us care quite a bit about and that’s the option on the US Presidency. There are ways...

As we had expected, the BoJ raised its policy rate to 0.25% and announced the JGB purchases would be halved by 1Q26. The growth outlook was trimmed modestly for FY24 while the inflation outlook...

The Fed's July policy meeting is set to be a pivotal moment for markets, with expectations of holding rates steady while signaling a potential rate cut in September. Recent data showing cooling...

The 2 day Fed meeting begins today. Here's a look at how has the US economy changed since the June Fed meeting. Does it justify a green light for a September interest rate cut by the Federal...

The market is convinced that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates at the Sep. 18 policy meeting. Tomorrow’s central bank announcement and press conference is still a wild card, but...

With favorable economic data providing officials with greater confidence that US inflation is moving steadily along the right path, we think that Wednesday’s FOMC meeting should offer a clearer hint...