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Economic “reflation” is becoming the next bullish narrative as equity valuation increases continue to outpace earnings gains, at least according to Gold Sachs and Tony...
Stocks finished the day sharply lower for a second day in a row, with the S&P 500 dropping by 1.2% and the NASDAQ dropping by 1.65%. The S&P 500 opened higher, but the selling started around...
Artificial intelligence (AI) and Bitcoin were top of mind at last week’s Paris Blockchain Week, where I had the privilege of presenting to an enthusiastic crowd. The blockchain and digital...
In the wake of last week’s hotter-than-expected consumer inflation data for March, the implied forecast via Fed funds futures indicates that interest-rate cuts are unlikely in the months...
The retraction of global markets on Friday and this morning in Asia and Europe are rational risk-rebalancing moves, considering that the heartbreaking events in the Middle East present the potential...
Is immigration why employment reports from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) continue defying mainstream economists’ estimates? Many are asking this question as the U.S. experiences a flood...
US inflation came in at 0.4% MoM for the third consecutive month, more than double the rate we need to consistently hit to bring inflation down to 2% YoY. Expectations for a June Federal Reserve...
Interest rate cut expectations have receded everywhere following the US inflation data, but there are subtle dovish incremental shifts within the BoC’s commentary that suggest should inflation...
After a week when the NY/NJ area saw an earthquake, an eclipse, and a gorgeous 75-degree spring day, it is time to get back to work.Today’s CPI report was not expected to be particularly great....
All eyes turn to the US inflation data, due to be released later today. Expectations include a slight decrease in core CPI and a marginal increase in overall CPI. Amid uncertainty about rate cuts,...
Stocks had a back-and-forth day ahead of today’s CPI report, which could take on some extra weight regarding the outlook for rate cuts.Expectations are for the CPI to rise by 0.3% m/m, down from...
In the most recent report from FINRA, margin debt levels have surged as bullish investors leverage their bets in the equity market. The increase in leverage is not surprising, as it represents...
It was a dull day for stocks, with the S&P 500 finishing the day slightly lower while rates rose and the US dollar sank. There isn’t much to take away from yesterday except that the VIX and...
We had a solar eclipse in New York today that made me think about trading and Eclipse Trading Tip. Next eclipse is in 20 years in NY - don't wait for trades that happen once every 5, 10, 20 years.
The consensus outlook is still projecting that the Federal Reserve will trim its target interest rate by the end of the year. But as economic growth endures and energy prices rise, market sentiment is...