Market Overview

Months ago, most economists dismissed claims that Jerome Powell and his team of policymakers at the Federal Reserve would pull off the so-called “soft landing.” But after recent events and...

US economic activity is still on track to slow after strong growth in the third quarter, but recession risk remains low, based on a set of nowcasts compiled by CapitalSpectator.com.Next month’s...

What is the “wealth effect,” and why is it important? It is a great question and reminded me of “A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Colosseum.“ The hysterical play by...

The seasonal party continues but, the danger is aheadThe strategy of how to navigate what is ahead has been generally covered in NFTRH and with post-FOMC clarity, it is being fine-tuned...

We just got our January 2019 moment: the Powell dovish pivot is here.Contrary to popular belief, a dovish pivot doesn’t mean the Fed is already cutting rates. Instead, it means the necessary...

A month ago the trend in global markets remained bullish despite the fallout from a correction that started mid-summer, based on several sets of ETF pairs. Following yesterday’s upbeat...

U.S. stocks are in rally mode as we enter the final weeks of 2023. With the final CPI report of the year out of the way, the market’s focus is now fixated solely on the Federal Reserve...

Late November, see here, we were based on the Elliott Wave Principle (EWP) looking for the Nasdaq 100 to put in a local top, drop to ideally $15,750, while holding above $15,738 on a daily closing...

The eagerly awaited release of CPI and Core CPI figures today is crucial, especially during a bullish market phase. Today's data release will also decide the year-end rally's fate. Anticipated...

This week will be the capstone of 2023 because whatever happens this week will be a send-off message as 2024 approaches.This week will feature CPI, PPI, and retail sales on the economic front. A 3,10,...

Next week will be the busiest week of the month for the markets. Here's my December 2023 preview for dollar, forex, stocks and more!

US economic growth remains on track to slow in the fourth quarter, but today’s revised analysis still supports a “soft landing” outlook that will keep output strong enough to...

The “American Dream” is dead.It would certainly seem to be the case if you believe surveys like Gallup that showed nearly 50% of the younger generation favor socialism over capitalism. To...

The Fed last raised rates in July and we think that marked the peak. There is growing evidence that tight monetary policy and restrictive credit conditions are having the desired effect on depressing...