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In December, the consumer price index (CPI) in the United States rose by 3.4% year-over-year (YoY), marking the highest increase in three months, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics...
Watch below my quick take on this morning's US inflation and jobless claims report and what it means for stocks and the US dollar trades.
The December CPI report is due on Thursday at 8:30AM ET. Headline annual inflation is seen rising 3.2% and core CPI is forecast to climb 3.8%. While the rate of inflation is declining, it’s not...
The S&P 500 finished the day higher by about 60 bps, while the S&P 500 Equal Weighted finished the day higher by just 17 bps. It again shows how the indexes are diverging and returning to...
Market narratives have been around for ages. However, the internet and, more recently, social media allow narratives to spread much quicker. Accordingly, they have become more frequent and potent...
Stocks gapped lower, while the equal-weight and small-cap indexes didn’t recover much. The S&P 500 finished the day lower by around 15 bps.The index was able to fill the morning’s...
During the last week of December, I polled my Twitter followers for their outlook on the markets and the economy for 2024. The results were quite interesting, but before we look forward, we must look...
It was one of those days; as soon as I woke up, I knew it could be a long day because the VIX was up probably more than it should have been for flat futures.If it feels like Deja Vu, it is probably...
This week will be another in-focus week, with the CPI and PPI reports coming toward the week’s end.Additionally, 3 Treasury auctions will be front and center as well. This will follow a fairly...
Treasury yields surged on Friday after the NFP report for December exceeded expectations, raising questions about the Fed's plans for a dovish pivot. The December non-farm payroll (NFP) report...
Wall Street’s Q4 earnings season kicks off next week and is expected to be the next major test for the stock market. Analysts expect annualized profit growth of +2.4% and an increase of +3.1% in...
As 2024 begins, let's take a look at what some historical stats indicate for this election year. Like every year, election years tend to be full of ups and downs, and investors need to retain their...
The S&P 500 dropped by around 35 bps on the day, with most of the decline coming in the final minutes. Yesterday, there was a large sell imbalance that was $4.1 billion, which helped to create...
Uncertainty is as thick as ever for diving into what awaits in the year ahead, but there’s still a growing consensus building that the Federal Reserve will soon start cutting interest...
Soft landings, it has been said, are the holy grail of monetary policy, and there may be signs that we’re on the cusp of one. But what does it mean for the economy in 2024 to have a soft...