Market Overview

What is the “wealth effect,” and why is it important? It is a great question and reminded me of “A Funny Thing Happened on the Way to the Colosseum.“ The hysterical play by...

The seasonal party continues but, the danger is aheadThe strategy of how to navigate what is ahead has been generally covered in NFTRH and with post-FOMC clarity, it is being fine-tuned...

We just got our January 2019 moment: the Powell dovish pivot is here.Contrary to popular belief, a dovish pivot doesn’t mean the Fed is already cutting rates. Instead, it means the necessary...

A month ago the trend in global markets remained bullish despite the fallout from a correction that started mid-summer, based on several sets of ETF pairs. Following yesterday’s upbeat...

Instead of holding their cards back, the Fed decided to go all in today and show their hand. I don’t play poker anymore, but the only time I would go all in in Texas Hold’em was when I...

U.S. stocks are in rally mode as we enter the final weeks of 2023. With the final CPI report of the year out of the way, the market’s focus is now fixated solely on the Federal Reserve...

In October, the markets were down 10% from the July high, bond yields were touching 5%, and talk of a coming recession was rampant. What happened?Interestingly, a Wall Street axiom says, “Sell...

The eagerly awaited release of CPI and Core CPI figures today is crucial, especially during a bullish market phase. Today's data release will also decide the year-end rally's fate. Anticipated...

Next week will be the busiest week of the month for the markets. Here's my December 2023 preview for dollar, forex, stocks and more!

US economic growth remains on track to slow in the fourth quarter, but today’s revised analysis still supports a “soft landing” outlook that will keep output strong enough to...

The “American Dream” is dead.It would certainly seem to be the case if you believe surveys like Gallup that showed nearly 50% of the younger generation favor socialism over capitalism. To...

The Fed last raised rates in July and we think that marked the peak. There is growing evidence that tight monetary policy and restrictive credit conditions are having the desired effect on depressing...

Investors should brace for more volatility next week as the stock market faces a pair of significant market-moving risk events. U.S. CPI inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s final policy...

Late last year, I was asked on a podcast what one fear I had for 2023 that was out-of-consensus and not expected by markets, but a non-zero probability which if it came to pass would have a huge...