Market Overview

It was a volatile trading session, with stocks having some big swings to start the day following the PPI and then moving higher late in the day. The IV levels for shorted dated rose today, while...

US consumer inflation data was surprisingly firm in March, raising the stakes for tomorrow’s April report (Wed., May 15). Another round of disappointing numbers would arguably confirm that the recent...

While there is much debate over whether another bear market is imminent, weekly moving average crossovers suggest a different outcome for now. There are many current concerns, from geopolitical risk...

Stocks traded mostly flat yesterday as investors geared up for a hectic week of economic data. The PPI report will be released soon, followed by the CPI report on Wednesday and retail sales on...

As an advocate of sound fiscal policy and a strong believer in the power of free markets, I find Argentina's recent economic overhaul under President Javier Milei not just refreshing but essential in...

It has been many years since investors had such an affordable option to safeguard themselves against a market downturn. However, there are several factors indicating a continued market uptrend. Ready...

When the yield curve flattens and eventually inverts, you worry.But it’s when a recession hits, the Fed cuts rates and the curve steepens that you become s**t scared. Yield curve dynamics...

When it comes to the financial markets, investors have a litany of investment vehicles to choose from. The choices are nearly unlimited, from brokered certificates of deposit to complex derivative...

There are many ways to monitor recession risk, but any one indicator in isolation is flawed. Context in the form of reviewing a wide variety of metrics is essential for minimizing noise. But in the...

Housing is among the most interest-rate sensitive sectors of the economy. It’s also one of the most cyclical and crucial inputs for the business cycle. On that basis, one could reasonably expect...

April was a rough month for investors, but the rebound in asset prices in the early days of May has revived expectations that the worst has passed. A key catalyst for the turnaround in sentiment:...

It was a volatile week of trading heavily influenced by hedging flows, as noted by sharp rises and declines in implied volatility measures such as the VIX. This makes grasping the underlying message...

Last week was big for macro and markets.Today’s piece is going to cover: The Fed’s dovish announcement: a sizeable tapering of their Quantitative Tightening program; A potential upcoming...

Investor psychology is one of the most significant reasons individuals consistently fall short of their investment goals. While one of the most common truisms is that “investors buy high and...