Market Overview

Part One of this series highlights how the government’s fixation with full employment and the Fed’s belief in the faulty Phillips Curve model from 1965 to 1982 fueled multiple bouts of...

One of the successes the Federal Reserve can tout from the last couple of years (and the list of them is pretty short, to be fair) is that after the unprecedented policy actions during COVID caused...

Just to remind you, a few weeks ago, I wrote an article which outlined the potential for a major bear market lasting between 13 and 21 years. In fact, this may even cause a long-term depression. And,...

In 60 seconds, I share the 3 things to watch this week.

Contrary gloomy predictions, investors that bought the 2022 dip are now sitting on juicy returns as the S&P 500 hits a new high Likewise, investors that resisted the selling pressure of the last...

The S&P 500 has hit a new record high after 512 trading days - one of the largest negative streaks in history Meanwhile, hedge funds hold the highest level of Nasdaq 100 purchases in almost seven...

Next week’s official release of US GDP data for the fourth quarter remains on track to post a moderate increase, based on a median estimate for a set of nowcasts compiled by...

The stock market finished higher yesterday. It was an entertaining day, especially if you understood the background of the sudden and “unexpected” rally, especially heading into OPEX...

The sharp drop in the New York Federal Reserve’s Empire State business-conditions index in January triggered a wave of warnings.Soon after this monthly survey data was released yesterday (Jan....

Appreciating Apollo’s graph below, comparing recent inflation to multiple bouts of inflation of the late 1960s, 70s, and early 80s is of utmost importance for investors.Sustained levels of high...

Stocks finished the day lower, with the S&P 500 dropping by 40 bps, as the VIX surged, rates rose, and the dollar strengthened.A good portion of the move came today after Fed governor Chris Waller...

The January effect, named for the perceived market anomaly where stock returns in January are higher than in other months, has been a subject of interest since it was first written about in...

The Fed has been running QT for a while and yet there is still abundant liquidity in the financial system.Fed’s bond holdings are down $1.3 trillion from their peak (due to QT), yet only half of...

US markets will be closed today, making for another short week. This will be an option expiration week with the VIX on Wednesday and Monthly stock OPEX on Friday.This will open a window for increased...