Market Overview

Stocks gapped lower, while the equal-weight and small-cap indexes didn’t recover much. The S&P 500 finished the day lower by around 15 bps.The index was able to fill the morning’s...

Much of what is thought and believed about the stock market is based upon fallacy and a lack of understanding, which was easily seen in the comments section of one of my recent articles.It seems that...

During the last week of December, I polled my Twitter followers for their outlook on the markets and the economy for 2024. The results were quite interesting, but before we look forward, we must look...

It was one of those days; as soon as I woke up, I knew it could be a long day because the VIX was up probably more than it should have been for flat futures.If it feels like Deja Vu, it is probably...

The runup in yields for most of the major asset classes has peaked, based on the trailing 1-year payout rates for a set of ETFs through Friday’s close (Jan. 5, 2024).That’s hardly...

This week will be another in-focus week, with the CPI and PPI reports coming toward the week’s end.Additionally, 3 Treasury auctions will be front and center as well. This will follow a fairly...

Wall Street’s Q4 earnings season kicks off next week and is expected to be the next major test for the stock market. Analysts expect annualized profit growth of +2.4% and an increase of +3.1% in...

As 2024 begins, let's take a look at what some historical stats indicate for this election year. Like every year, election years tend to be full of ups and downs, and investors need to retain their...

Uncertainty is as thick as ever for diving into what awaits in the year ahead, but there’s still a growing consensus building that the Federal Reserve will soon start cutting interest...

Soft landings, it has been said, are the holy grail of monetary policy, and there may be signs that we’re on the cusp of one. But what does it mean for the economy in 2024 to have a soft...

The year 2023 was a bullish one for stock markets around the world. At the same time, some asset classes had a year to forget. In this piece, I will share my 4 predictions for the financial markets...

Let me get straight to the point: our models show inflation is on its way to undershoot (!) Central Banks targets in 2024. Inflation is often a monetary phenomenon: print real-economy money too...

The first week of 2024 will be a big one, with a lot of data that will either justify the market rally and expectations for rate cuts or not.Data that comes in too hot will kill the idea of rate cuts...

In fact, with patience it could turn out to be like shooting contrary fish in a barrel. The stock market rally – which NFTRH had anticipated a year ago on a larger basis and since October of...