Market Overview

Investors are on edge ahead of February’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report today, which economists expect to show a slight cooling in inflation. Forecasts point to a 3.2% year-over-year increase,...

As new presidential terms go, this one’s off to a rocky start for the economic outlook, thanks largely to disruptive tariff plans that risk triggering a global trade war. Perhaps most surprising is...

The US, Japan, and parts of Europe had a rough week, while China, Germany, France, and the Euro Stoxx 50 stayed steady. Tariffs, central banks, and the war in Ukraine keep markets uncertain,...

Last week, we discussed the more extreme levels of bearishness that have gripped the markets as of late. “In other words, while the media scrambled to align reasons with the sell-off, the correction...

I’m sure this week will be interesting, given the CPI and PPI reports. I’m sure the administration will have plenty of on-again and off-again policy statements about something. The one thing that...

DOGE is unlikely to cause a US recession, but its "move fast and break things" approach raises the risks. Narratives about the U.S. economic outlook have darkened in the past month as concerns about...

The risk of a recession in the U.S. is not zero. This is particularly true as the current Administration tackles Government bloat and implements tariffs. However, before we discuss why the risk of a...

Stocks finished the day sharply lower, just one day ahead of the most important jobs report ever. Yes, that’s right—the VIX 1-day rose and closed at 31.2 yesterday. The market seems to think today’s...

1. S&P 500 Likely to Hold at 200-Day MA (1) Will S&P 500 indexes find support at their 200-day moving averages? We think so. Sentiment is quite bearish and the next batch of economic...

Stocks finished the day higher, rising about 1.1%. It didn’t take much—just word that President Trump would delay auto tariffs by a month. But in a negative gamma environment, momentum can build...

According to the most recent Polymarket odds, 39% of betters believe recession is on the table during 2025, which is an uptick of 18% over the last week. However, many hold the view that the economy...

The rollout of President Trump’s tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China has roiled expectations for US economic activity in the first quarter. Prior to what is shaping up to be a global tariff war,...

Tariffs are on, tariffs are off—does anyone even know what’s happening anymore? It’s completely confusing and honestly impossible to keep up with. I stepped away for 30 minutes to take my daughter to...

Investor’s bearish sentiment has surged to levels that generally align with server market corrections and crashes. While concerns about the recent market correction have risen, and bearish headlines...