Market Overview

It took a few days and a near-bond market meltdown to break Trump, but he finally broke. As I noted yesterday, it was starting to look ugly out there, and by night, the bond market rollercoaster rise...

After Trump’s new tariffs, markets are on edge—again. But with the S&P 500 testing critical support, a rebound might still be possible. Meanwhile, gold shines as the only real safe haven amidst...

Is inflation or slower growth, and perhaps recession, the priority? This basic question hangs over the Federal Reserve as it grapples with deciding how to respond to global trade war. The risks shot...

For those of you with bearish nightmares, we share one important takeaway from Monday’s market roller coaster. While there is a good chance the market may explore new lows over the coming months, we...

The S&P 500 is now down almost 19% since topping out in February. It closed at 4982.77 (chart). If it falls another 1.35% down to 4915.32, it will be in a bear market. The index was up sharply at...

Things are getting ugly, especially in rates and FX. Significant decoupling is occurring, indicating a potentially massive flight out of the U.S. and severe liquidity constraints now hitting the...

Pursuing a structual, sudden change in US trade policy is one thing. That alone is disruptive. Even if it’s a net plus in the longer term (a debatable proposition), the current burden that’s weighing...

Achieving financial independence and early retirement is a goal for many, but it requires strategic planning, disciplined saving, and careful investing. The idea of retiring early—whether in your...

Ouch. Global markets are in freefall in response to President Donald Trump’s universal 10% tariff on all goods being imported into the U.S., with as many as 60 countries facing “reciprocal” tariffs...

A rising chorus of forecasts suggests as much. But for the moment, this is still guesswork as markets struggle to price in a dramatically altered macro outlook due to the rising risk of a global...

Last week, we noted that it would not be uncommon for the market to retest recent lows. That is what happened on Monday morning before rallying sharply off that level. However, that rally was...

While stagflation fears grip the market and make headlines, the bond market appears more concerned about ‘stag' than ‘flation.' Stagflation describes sluggish economic activity or a recession coupled...

Where Are Markets Today? Bloodbath Across the Markets – Where Is the Bottom? The bloodbath is in full swing, and that’s exactly what you see when you look at the European markets. There is no safe...

We see markets probe all the time, and right now, it seems we’re in a probing mood, searching for that “put” where a policymaker panics. As of Friday, however, it was falling on deaf ears—and Powell...