Market Overview

Markets are entering a seasonally strong period with historical trends favoring bullish outcomes. Rate cut expectations and strong earnings are fueling optimism across asset classes. Key markets,...

The US economy remains on track to end the year with a moderate increase in output, according to the median Q4 GDP estimate based on a set of nowcasts published by several sources. Recession risk, as...

Donald Trump nominated seasoned hedge fund manager Scott Bessent as the next Treasury Secretary. While the Treasury Secretary has many responsibilities, debt management is one of the most important....

It was a strange day, for sure. The Treasury rate fell quite a bit, certainly more than I would have expected given the naming of a Treasury Secretary. Of course, the solid 2-yr auction results at 1...

Last week, at the North American Blockchain Summit in Dallas, Texas, I had the distinct privilege of moderating a fireside chat with former Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper. Our conversation...

Last week, we discussed the impact of the Trump Presidency on the financial markets based on expectations of tax cuts, tariffs, and deregulation. Since then, the “Trump Trade” went into full swing,...

Corporate insider trading activity has never been more bearish than it is right now. This should be especially concerning given the fact that aggregate insider activity is one of the best predictors...

Stocks bounced back following last week’s decline, with the S&P 500 rebounding by 1.7%. This week will be short, with US markets closed on Thursday and a half-day on Friday. It will also be...

The ongoing rise in continuing claims looks worrisome, but initial claims are telling a considerably more upbeat story. Which one’s the better measure? The positive spin via initial claims is...

If you could only track one economic indicator to monitor the economy the trend in payrolls would be a solid choice. Think of it as the fuel that powers consumer spending engine, which accounts for...

The next round of central bank decisions could rank among the most challenging in recent history, perhaps in decades. Policy hawks and doves can cite a fair amount of evidence for supporting their...

Mark Cuban Says Trump’s Tariff Proposals Will Ramp Up Prices- Business Insider Fed’s Kashkari Says Trump Tariffs Could Reheat Inflation If They Provoke Global Trade War- CNBC Blanket Tariffs Would...

Rates dipped slightly yesterday, with the 10-year Treasury falling by about two basis points and the dollar index declining by 40 basis points, providing some relief to risk assets. Given the...

Fourth-quarter economic output for the US looks set for another downshift, based on CapitalSpectator.com’s initial GDP nowcast. The estimate reflects the median for a set of nowcasts published by...