Market Overview

Everyone expects more Fed rate cuts in the coming months, but the outcome of the US presidential election could influence their speed and depth. Of course, this is not the only conundrum policymakers...

The last full week ahead of the US election is jam-packed with key economic reports. As a result, the potential for surprises that could sway voters is in high gear in the days to come. Here’s a...

Fed officials indicated that the September 18 rate cut was likely to be followed by more cuts. They deemed that 5.25%-5.50% was too restrictive, which is why they cut it by 50bps to...

It will be a big week for earnings and economic data, likely setting the tone for the coming weeks. It feels like something has fundamentally shifted in this market, which appears to be churning at...

Seasonality has long influenced stock market trends, offering insights into predictable cycles of strength and weakness throughout the year. Yale Hirsch, the creator of the Stock Trader’s Almanac, is...

THINK Ahead in Developed Markets United States Given the backdrop of 3% growth, low unemployment, equity markets at all-time highs, and inflation still above 2%, you could be forgiven for...

After a 50bp rate cut last month, market speculation surrounding the Federal Reserve’s next move is ramping up – and as the looming presidential election adds yet another layer of uncertainty to the...

When I am asked about my view as to how markets work, I try to simplify it to the lowest common denominator. So, while many will express their opinion on market drivers in relation to the Fed, or...

Will the two hurricanes that hit the US Southeast region recently weigh on the upcoming third-quarter GDP data? Probably, although for the moment the impact is expected to be minimal, based on set of...

The Mayo Clinic defines Post Traumatic Stress Disorder, or PTSD, as “a mental health condition that’s caused by an extremely stressful or terrifying event — either being part of it or witnessing...

The Misery Index is the sum of the unemployment rate and the inflation rate (measured as the yearly percent change in the CPI). It was 6.5% during September, well below its average since 1947 of...

Macro clouds remain on the horizon. Wherever you look at, you see unsustainable economic models: we are either relying on debt-fueled growth (US), trying to squeeze exhausted growth models (China),...

Yes, that has been our advice since mid-August. Our August 19, 2024 Morning Briefing was titled, "Get Ready To Short Bonds?" We wrote: "Bond investors may be expecting too many interest-rate cuts...

The bull market celebrates its two-year milestone, maintaining strong growth. Investors watch closely to see if the rally aligns with historical bull market patterns. Sustained market momentum...