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Economic and inflation forecasts have a highly significant impact on treasury bond yields. Therefore, one would suspect that their yields would follow a linear trend as the maturity lengthens on...
Asian stocks struggled on Tuesday as investors moved away from U.S. assets, weakening Wall Street and the dollar. Worries about the Federal Reserve's independence also added more stress to...
It was another turbulent trading session yesterday, marked by heightened volatility and a rush to exit US assets. The dollar index dropped roughly 1.1%, the S&P 500 declined by about 3%, and the...
Financial markets are always pricing in uncertainty and risk, but the task has become dramatically more challenging in recent weeks after the US upended its longstanding trade policy. A repeat...
Trump Reignites Fed Feud Last week, we discussed the “tariff reprieve” that sent stocks ripping higher in the 3rd largest one-day advance on record. “As we said last week, any good news would cause...
Over the last 25 years, US companies have benefited from increasing globalization of both trade and capital, which enabled secular disinflation and increasing profitability. As Goldman Sachs points...
Inflation risk has been a significant topic of discussion in the mainstream media for the last few years. Such is unsurprising given that inflation spiked following the pandemic in 2020 as consumer...
This article explores five of the most famous financial bubbles in history. As capital floods into the technology sector, one question lingers: Could AI be the next bubble? The so-called "Magnificent...
Recent consumer sentiment readings have been horrendous. For instance, the University of Michigan’s latest consumer expectations and the Conference Board’s consumer confidence index are at or near...
Asian stocks rose slightly on Thursday, and the US Dollar gained a bit as traders evaluated trade talks between the U.S. and Japan, while concerns over tariffs introduced by President Donald Trump...
Global stock indices cratered yesterday, 16 April, led by technology and semiconductor stocks. Uncertainties over US tariffs and tic-for-tat trade retaliatory measures cast doubts on the technology...
The chart below, courtesy of JP Morgan Asset Management, highlights how much the US relies on certain rare earth metal imports from China and other nations. It also lists some of the products the...
UK annual inflation dropped to 2.6% in March 2025, lower than expected, with notable decreases in recreation, culture, and transport prices. Markets are pricing in an 85% probability of a Bank of...
The two-day global stock surge in Europe came to a halt this morning following further escalations in the US-China trade war. The Trump administration slapped fresh curbs on Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) chip...
Indices are reaching an endpoint in their relief bounces, but the asset that is most likely to break lower is Bitcoin (BTC/USD). It's generating spike highs at channel resistance with a significant...