ING Economic and Financial Analysis

Oil prices surged this morning on media reports that Israel is planning a possible strike on Iranian nuclear facilities Energy – Geopolitical Risks Grow The oil market spiked in early morning trading...

The US dollar remains gently offered in quiet conditions. In the absence of important US data this week, investors are continuing to speculate over whether US trade deals with Asia will involve a...

Oil prices remain steady as the market digests the Trump-Putin call, which appears to have resulted in no significant breakthroughs Energy – Chinese Oil Demand Falls The oil market eked out a small...

Oil sold off yesterday amid rising hopes for an Iranian nuclear deal after comments from President Trump Energy – Iran Nuclear Deal Hopes The oil market sold off yesterday following comments from...

The greenback has not held on to post-trade-deal gains for long, and while a soft CPI was the trigger for the correction, we think yesterday’s moves signal a clear preference for strategic short-USD...

Oil prices moved higher amid threats of tougher sanctions on Iran in the absence of a nuclear deal Energy – Iranian Sanctions ICE Brent rallied by almost 2.6% yesterday, reaching its highest since...

Some calm is returning to FX markets after another day of trade-driven volatility. The 90-day pause in the US-China trade war has allowed the US dollar to recoup some losses, although we doubt it...

Oil prices moved higher following a pause in tariffs by China and the US. However, supply dynamics are likely to continue to generate headwinds Energy – Tariff Pause Provides Short-Term...

Oil and metals prices rose after the US and China said they will temporarily lower tariffs on each other’s products, with the US reducing its levies on most Chinese imports from 145% to 30% and China...

Markets are anxiously awaiting today’s update from Secretary Bessent on the content of initial US-China trade talks over the weekend. We think the market baseline is for tariffs to be cut to 60%, and...

Markets have welcomed the first US trade deal since Liberation Day, although the British-American agreement is hardly a game-changer for either of the two countries. The US dollar is benefiting from...

The US dollar started the day a little stronger after last night's FOMC meeting, which was read as an acknowledgement of the risk of stagflation (no early Fed cuts). Also, helping the dollar is the...

Another hold from the Federal Reserve with an acknowledgement that uncertainty has increased with more upside risk for both inflation and unemployment. This suggests little inclination to move until...

It was a sea of red across commodities as news that the Federal Reserve left US interest rates on hold, and signs it's likely to remain there, overcame enthusiasm about US-China trade talks Energy -...

One might have thought that news of formal trade talks between the US and China would have seen the US dollar bid better. In fact, the dollar is struggling to hold a 0.5% rally against the big...

Commodity markets are trading firmer amid news that US-China trade talks will kick off later this week. Energy: US-China Trade Talk Hopes Push Oil Higher News that the US and China will start trade...