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Build positions in China, China-exposed equities, says Evercore

Published 21/10/2024, 10:50
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Investing.com -- Strategists at Evercore ISI are urging investors to build position in China and China-exposed equities, highlighting an appealing investment opportunity marked by attractive valuations and policy support.

Evercore strategists note that China’s economic data is stabilizing, and further upside is dependent on fiscal policy moving beyond promises. They point to the upcoming NPCSC meeting as the “next catalyst window,” as it could offer additional clarity on fiscal measures.

“Build a China/China exposed position now,” strategists said in a note, urging investors to focus on Chinese ADRs as well as US and European stocks with significant China revenue exposure, citing the potential for outperformance.

Evercore emphasizes that China’s equity markets, including the Hang Seng Index, remain some of the cheapest globally on both an absolute and relative basis.

The investment bank points out that several indicators should be monitored to gauge the effectiveness of stimulus, including money supply growth, consumer confidence, property price stabilization, and retail sales recovery.

“Buy China ADRs with favorable valuations and growing earnings per share (EPS),” strategists continued.

They advise investors to use any market weakness, such as adverse reactions to the US election or China’s CSI 300 index retesting its May peak, as buying opportunities.

“In both cases, the odds of additional stimulus measures being announced rise,” Evercore’s team notes. “US and European companies with outsized China revenue exposure but which are trading at a discount to their historical valuations are also expected to outperform.”

China's stocks ended slightly higher on Monday, driven by gains in technology shares after Beijing signaled fresh measures to support innovative tech firms and announced a reduction in benchmark lending rates.

The CSI 300 index edged up 0.3%, and the Shanghai Composite Index added 0.2%. However, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell by 1.6%.

China lowered both its one-year and five-year loan prime rates (LPRs) by 25 basis points each in its latest monthly adjustment. Although the rate cuts were expected, markets had largely predicted a reduction of 20 basis points.

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