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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian funds seek a sheltered shore in U.S. assets

Published 21/02/2020, 05:51
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian funds seek a sheltered shore in U.S. assets
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* Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

* Dollar scales 3-year peak, sovereign bonds in demand

* Markets spooked as virus spreads outside China

* Nikkei flat, yen's slide a comfort for exporters

* Gold reaches a 7-year peak; watching flash PMIs

By Wayne Cole

SYDNEY, Feb 21 (Reuters) - Asian shares were under water on

Friday as fears over the creeping spread of the coronavirus sent

funds fleeing to the sheltered shores of U.S. assets, lifting

the dollar to three-year highs.

Adding to the tension was the imminent release of flash

manufacturing surveys for a range of countries. Japan's index

dropped to 47.6 in February, from 48.8, marking the steepest

contraction in seven years. Even Wall Street turned soggy late on Thursday on news of

increased infections in Beijing and abroad. South Korea reported

52 new confirmed cases on Friday. Corporate earnings are increasingly under threat as U.S.

manufacturers, like many others, scramble for alternative

sources as China's supply chains seize up. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) estimated

losses for Asian airlines alone could amount to almost $28

billion this year, with most of that in China.

"COVID-19 anxiety has risen to a new level amid concerns of

virus outbreaks in Beijing and outside of China," said Rodrigo

Catril, a senior FX strategist at NAB.

"U.S. and EU equity markets have been sold across the board

with core global yields benefiting from safe-haven flows," he

added. "Asian currencies have suffered sharp falls, including

the yen as recession fears trump the usual safe-haven demand."

All of which made gold shine as a safe harbour. The yellow

metal was last at $1,624.94 XAU= , having added 2.6% for the

week so far to seven-year highs.

Equities lagged badly, with MSCI's broadest index of

Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS off 0.6% on

Friday in nervous trade.

South Korea .KS11 slid 1.2% as the virus spread in the

country, while Japan's Nikkei .N225 went flat even as a plunge

in the yen promised to aid exporters.

Shanghai blue chips .CSI300 were holding their nerve

thanks to the promise of more policy stimulus at home. But

both E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 ESc1 and EUROSTOXX 50

STXEc1 slipped 0.3%.

The Dow .DJI had lost 0.44% on Thursday, while the S&P 500

.SPX lost 0.38% and the Nasdaq .IXIC 0.67%.

BUYING BONDS

Sovereign bonds benefited from the mounting risk aversion,

with yields on 30-year U.S. Treasuries US30YT=RR falling below

the psychologically important 2% level to the lowest since

September 2019.

Yields on 10-year notes US10YT=RR were down 9 basis points

for the week at 1.498%, lows last seen in September.

"The U.S. 10-year has rallied more than all the other liquid

G5 bond market alternatives," said Alan Ruskin, global head of

G10 FX strategy at Deutsche Bank.

"Treasuries attract foreign bond inflows because of their

higher yields, and because higher yields leave more scope for

yields to decline."

Those flows were a boon to the U.S. dollar, boosting it to

multi-month peaks against a raft of competitors this week.

The most spectacular gains came on the Japanese yen as a run

of dire domestic data stirred talk of recession there and ended

months of stalemate in the market.

The dollar was last lording it at 112.02 yen JPY= and set

for its best week since September 2017 with a rise of 2%.

Another casualty of its close trade ties with China was the

Australian dollar, which plumbed 11-years lows AUD=D3 .

The euro fared little better at $1.0790 EUR= , having

reached depths not seen since April 2017.

Against a basket of currencies, the dollar hit a three-year

top at 99.910 .DXY having climbed 0.8% for the week so far.

Analysts at RBC Capital Markets noted the dollar's

outperformance had brought it close to breaching a host of major

chart barriers, which could supercharge its rally.

"This has allowed the DXY to approach the 100.00 threshold –

with a key resistance hurdle at 100.30 now within sight," they

wrote in a note. The same went for the Chinese yuan CNH= .

"USD/CNH is now poised to pierce resistance at 7.0559 after

the USD hit new cycle highs against other EM currencies."

Oil prices faded a little on Friday, but were still up more

than 3% for the week. O/R

U.S. crude CLc1 dipped 32 cents to $53.56 a barrel, while

Brent crude LCOc1 futures eased 37 cents to $58.94.

Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA

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