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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares drop, commodities sink on virus fears after Lunar New Year break

Published 03/02/2020, 03:40
Updated 03/02/2020, 03:46
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares drop, commodities sink on virus fears after Lunar New Year break
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(Adds MSCI ex-Japan and Nikkei, updates levels throughout)

* Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

* Australian, NZ shares fall; oil slides, gold firm

* Coronavirus death toll in China rises to 361

* China c.bank injects $174 bln of liquidity on Monday

* Economists lower growth forecasts for Chinese economy

By Swati Pandey

SYDNEY, Feb 3 (Reuters) - Asian shares stumbled on Monday,

oil skidded and commodities on Chinese exchanges plunged on

their first trading day after a long break on fears the

coronavirus epidemic will hit demand in the world's

second-largest economy

Aiming to head off any panic, the Chinese government took a

range of steps to shore up an economy hit by travel curbs and

business shut-downs because of the epidemic, including cutting

its key interest rate. Despite the measures, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific

shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS fell 0.4%, on track for its

eighth straight day of losses.

Chinese shares slumped at the open with the blue-chip index

.CSI300 down about 7%.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 stumbled 0.9% while Australia's

benchmark index .AXJO skidded 1.2%, while New Zealand shares

.NZ50 dropped 1.5%.

"Until the rate of new cases peaks, equities are in limbo –

too late to sell, too early to buy," said Sean Darby, Hong

Kong-based strategist at Jefferies.

A total of 361 people have died in China from the

coronavirus with the first death out of the mainland reported on

Sunday in the Philippines. In a bid to cushion the impact on China's economy, the

country's central bank cut reverse repo rates by 10 basis points

and injected 1.2 trillion yuan ($173.8 billion) of liquidity

into the markets on Monday. Beijing also said it would help firms that produce vital

goods resume work as soon as possible, state broadcaster CCTV

reported. Still, analysts expect Chinese onshore equity markets to

remain under pressure as the number of infections is still

likely to increase in the weeks ahead.

Economists at Citigroup said the steps taken by Chinese

authorities were "unlikely to be sufficient to curtail a sharp

downturn in Q1."

"As most employees won't return to work until Feb. 9, the

output losses are likely to be larger than expected, and

incoming economic activity data will continue to prompt the

authorities to take more actions in order to reduce the adverse

impact of the Wuhan coronavirus on the economy," they noted.

Citi revised its full-year forecast for China's GDP growth

to 5.5% in 2020 from 5.8%. It also cut first-quarter growth

expectations to 4.8%, compared with 6% in the fourth quarter of

2019.

JPMorgan shaved its forecast for global growth by 0.3

percentage points for this quarter.

There was still some glimmer of hope.

"We still believe that economic activities should recover

swiftly once the number of new cases comes under control, and

subsequently market sentiment should also improve," said

JPMorgan Asset Management Asia Chief Market Strategist Tai Hui.

"This could take time to play out, but this underpins our

long-term optimism in the A-share market despite a challenging

time ahead."

E-Mini futures for the S&P500 ESc1 added 0.6%, pointing

to a positive start for Wall Street on Monday.

As Chinese markets opened after the 10-day break, Shanghai

copper SCFcv1 hit limit down as did Shanghai crude oil

ISCcv1 while yields on the country's 30-year government bonds

traded in the interbank market were down 18.5 basis points.

Dalian soymeal DSMcv1 plunged 4.1% while Dalian iron ore

DCIOcv1 hit limit down with steel prices tumbling too.

On Friday, the Dow .DJI fell 2.1%, the S&P 500 .SPX

declined 1.8% and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC dropped 1.6% as

economists tempered their outlook for China while cconomic data

out of the United States and Europe together with a mixed batch

of corporate earnings also added to the gloom.

In currencies, the safe-haven Japanese yen JPY= held near

a 3-1/2-week high against the dollar at 108.57 after adding

about 1.5% in the last two weeks.

The risk-sensitive Australian dollar AUD=D3 , which is

often traded as a liquid proxy for the Chinese yuan, tumbled 2%

last week to hit a four-month trough of $0.6683. It was last up

0.2% at 0.6701.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a

basket of major currencies, was a shade higher at 97.475. .DXY

Gold, which posted its best month in five in January,

slipped 0.5% to $1,582.70, while yields on U.S. debt lingered

near five-month lows as the United States, Japan and other

countries tightened travel curbs to China. XAU=

Oil futures came off lows after skidding sharply earlier in

the session on concerns the coronavirus outbreak would hit

China's oil demand. Brent crude LCOc1 was last down 31 cents

at $56.31 a barrel after falling more than $1 at one stage. U.S.

crude CLc1 slipped 5 cents to $51.51.

Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA

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(Editing by Richard Pullin and Jacqueline Wong)

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