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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian stocks inch up on trade outlook but markets remain wary

Published 05/12/2019, 01:58
Updated 05/12/2019, 02:01
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian stocks inch up on trade outlook but markets remain wary
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* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

* Asian stocks head higher on trade hopes

* Mixed signals from Trump keep investors on their toes

* Oil eases slightly but OPEC meetings loom

By Stanley White

TOKYO, Dec 5 (Reuters) - Asian stocks edged up on Thursday

on signs the United States and China were on track for a

preliminary trade deal, though optimism was tempered by the

almost daily shifts in prospects for defusing the damaging

tariff war now in its second year.

The fluid situation around Sino-U.S. trade negotiations has

cast a pall on financial markets heading into Christmas, with

major economies grappling under the weight of weak exports,

investments and corporate profits.

Investors were quick to latch on to a Bloomberg report on

Wednesday that Washington and Beijing are closer to agreeing how

many tariffs would be rolled back in a "phase one" trade deal.

U.S. President Donald Trump later said that negotiations

with China are going "very well," providing a boost to riskier

assets and denting safe havens like the Japanese yen.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS rose 0.3%. Australian shares .AXJO were up

0.9%, while Japan's Nikkei stock index .N225 rose 0.81%.

Trump's comments marked a reversal from Tuesday when he

roiled global markets by saying a trade deal may not come until

after the 2020 U.S. presidential election.

Analysts warn that more market turbulence is possible given

Sino-U.S. negotiations are very fluid.

"We could be in for a bit of a rally in risk assets and

risk-on trades," said Shane Oliver, head of investment strategy

and chief economist at AMP Capital Investors in Sydney.

"My base case scenario is the two sides reach some deal. The

pressure for a deal is immense simply because of the economic

slowdown in both countries. However, we see increased volatility

because policy uncertainty has become a constant."

U.S. stock futures ESc1 fell 0.03% on Thursday in Asia

after the S&P 500 .SPX gained 0.63% on Wednesday.

The United States has imposed tariffs on Chinese goods in a

17-month long dispute over trade practices that the U.S.

government says are unfair. China has responded in kind with its

own tariffs on U.S. goods.

If both sides cannot reach an agreement soon, the next

important date to watch is Dec. 15, when Washington is scheduled

to impose even more tariffs on Chinese goods.

Traders are also bracing for the closely-watched U.S.

non-farm payrolls report due Friday to determine how well the

U.S. economy is holding up amid a global slowdown.

Some investors are betting that Trump will delay the

additional duties as long as he gets close enough to a

compromise because the tariff hike would hurt U.S. consumers

during the crucial year-end shopping season.

However, Trump has repeatedly sent mixed messages about the

status of negotiations, sparking fits of optimism and despair in

financial markets.

The yen JPY=EBS traded at 108.81 per dollar, ceding some

of the previous day's gains as positive signs about the trade

dispute hurt demand for safe-haven currencies.

The yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes US10YT=RR

fell slightly to 1.7723% in Asia, retracing some of the gains it

made in the previous session.

U.S. crude CLc1 edged 0.03% lower to $58.41 a barrel on

Thursday as a 3% rally overnight showed signs of fading.

However, prices could be supported if the Organization of

the Petroleum Exporting Countries, and allies including Russia,

approve deeper crude output cuts when they meet in Vienna on

Thursday and Friday. (Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

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