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GLOBAL MARKETS-Bond yields rise as Sweden ends negative rates, stocks drift lower

Published 19/12/2019, 14:26
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Bond yields rise as Sweden ends negative rates, stocks drift lower
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* Sweden ends five years of negative interest rates

* Pound recovers after 3% battering

* Stocks groggy after week's record high

By Joice Alves

LONDON, Dec 19 (Reuters) - Bond yields rose and Sweden's

crown stayed ice cool on Thursday as the country became the

first to raise interest rates out of sub-zero territory, while

world stocks drifted off this week's record highs.

It was a packed day of central bank action all round. While

Sweden made its big move, Norway sat tight on rates, and

sterling pulled out of a dive even as two Bank of England

policymakers pushed for a UK interest rate cut.

Stock markets stalled, however, after their rapid recent

run-up and with a record-high Wall Street now facing the

complexity of U.S. President Donald Trump's impeachment in

Washington. Wall Street futures ESc1 pointed to a subdued start .N ,

while the pan-European index STOXX 600 STXEc1 continued to dip

in and out of the red, although Britain's blue-chip FTSE index

.FTSE did manage to hold a 0.2% rise. .EU

Asia has also pulled back from a 1-1/2 year peak.

The focus remained on the day's big milestone - Sweden

ending five years of negative interest rates. The crown stayed

calm after the move, rising as much as 0.2%.

Bond yields rose across Europe though, with those in

higher-rated countries such as Germany, France and the

Netherlands up 3-4 bps on the day FR10YT=RR NL10YT=RR .

Germany's benchmark 10-year bond yield rose to -0.212%

DE10YT=RR , a new six-month high, pushing past a peak touched

on Friday.

Economists now wonder how Sweden's open economy will react

and whether other central banks with sub-zero rates in the euro

zone, Japan, Denmark, Switzerland and Hungary will consider

following suit.

"This market doesn't look at macro and earnings, it just

looks at monetary developments," said Stéphane Barbier de la

Serre, macro strategist at Makor Capital Markets, referring to

the huge role low interest rates have played in driving asset

prices higher over the last decade.

"If the market thinks central banks (globally) are done with

being dovish then we would see some volatility," he added.

Commerzbank said Sweden's hike showed it was throwing "in

the towel in a state of exasperation" at the impact of negative

rates, and "neither because the economy is doing so well (on the

contrary: the PMI is in free fall) nor because inflation

justified (it)".

POUND REBOUND

The British pound also gained after suffering heavy losses

this week as concerns have returned that Britain could still

crash out of the European Union without a trade deal in place

when a transition period ends in December 2020.

Sterling GBP=D3 rose 0.2% to $1.3104 after falling more

than 3%. It had reached an 18-month high on Dec. 13 after UK

Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Conservative Party won a majority

in a general election.

Against the euro, it stood at 84.99 pence EURGBP=D3 , close

to its weakest since Dec. 4. /FRX British inflation remained

at a three-year low in November, data had showed on Wednesday.

The Australian dollar jumped by 0.3% to $0.6879 after

better-than-expected labour-market data made interest rate cuts

less likely. The yen JPY=EBS barely moved from 109.58 per

dollar after the Bank of Japan kept its quantitative easing in

place and issued a gloomier assessment on factory output.

In Asia overnight, Japan's Nikkei .N225 fell 0.3% and

China's stocks slipped .CSI300 for the second session despite

trade optimism. Australian shares .AXJO ended 0.3% lower, led

lower by mining stocks.

Investors were also watching proceedings in Washington,

where the Democratic-led House of Representatives voted to

impeach Trump for abuse of power and obstruction of Congress.

Market reaction was limited, since the Republican-controlled

Senate is very widely expected not to remove Trump from office.

In commodities, Brent crude LCOc1 was up 0.1% to $66.26

per barrel. U.S. crude CLc1 also gained 0.04% to $60.97 a

barrel after U.S. government data showed a decline in crude

inventories. EIA/S

Prices are likely to be supported by production cuts coming

from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and

its allies, including Russia.

Gold eased as optimism over U.S.-China trade ties offset

political uncertainty over Trump's impeachment. Spot gold XAU=

dipped 0.1% to $1,474.64 per ounce.

Elsewhere, palladium XPD= gained 0.5% to $1,934.08 per

ounce. Prices of the auto catalyst metal hit an all-time peak of

$1,998.43 on Tuesday, within a whisker of breaking above $2,000

for the first time due to a gaping supply deficit.

Euro zone inflation expectations https://tmsnrt.rs/34Aa3kD

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