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GLOBAL MARKETS-Caution rules oil, financial markets due to Middle East worries, Fed

Published 18/09/2019, 09:50
GLOBAL MARKETS-Caution rules oil, financial markets due to Middle East worries, Fed
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* Oil stabilise as Saudi says has restored supply

* But geopolitical tensions still support crude

* Investors expect Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points on

* European shares tread water, luxury under pressure

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Tom Arnold

LONDON, Sept 18 (Reuters) - Oil prices steadied on Wednesday

as Middle East events kept investors nervous, while caution

ahead of an expected U.S. interest rate cut kept wider financial

markets in tight ranges.

European stocks were subdued, with luxury stocks one of the

few sectors seeing activity. Swiss luxury goods group Richemont

CFR.S fell nearly 5%, weighing the most on the pan-European

STOXX 600 index .STOXX , while Swatch UHR.S declined 2.4%

after a bearish note by UBS.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS ticked up 0.08% while Japan's Nikkei .N225

dipped 0.18% after 10 straight days of gains and China's

blue-chip share index .CSI300 rose 0.49%.

Wall Street futures ESc1 pointed to a softer opening.

Brent crude LCOc1 futures dipped 0.26% to $64.38 a barrel,

having conceded about 65% of their gains made after the weekend

attack on Saudi Arabia's oil facilities.

Brent crude LCOc1 futures dipped 0.09% to $64.48 a barrel,

having conceded a chunk of their gains made after the weekend

attack on Saudi Arabia's oil facilities.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 lost 0.5% to

$59.04 per barrel, paring back around half of its gains after

Saturday's attack.

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman on Tuesday

sought to reassure markets, saying the kingdom would restore its

lost oil production by month-end having recovered supplies to

customers to the levels they were prior to the weekend's

attacks. "I would think a spike in oil prices will likely prove to be

short-term given that the global economy isn't doing too well,"

said Akira Takei, bond fund manager at Asset Management One.

Still, heightened geopolitical tensions underpinned oil as well

as some safe-haven assets such as U.S. bonds.

A U.S. official said on Tuesday the United States believes

the attacks originated in southwestern Iran, an assessment that

could heighten the rivalry between Tehran and Riyadh. Iran has

denied involvement in the strikes. Adding to uncertainties in the Middle East were exit polls

from Israel's election, which showed the race too close to call

suggesting Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's fight for

political survival could drag on. Gold XAU= was 0.07% down at $1,501.54, while the 10-year

U.S. Treasuries yield fell to 1.799% US10YT=RR , compared with

Friday's 1-1/2-month high of 1.908% ahead of the Fed's policy

announcement on Wednesday.

While a 25-basis point rate cut is seen as near-certain,

investors look to the statement and economic projections from

Fed policymakers, given signs of deep disagreements among them.

"People are very cautious right now," said Christophe

Barraud, at Market Securities in Paris. "They're waiting for the

Fed meeting and potential new development in Saudi Arabia."

"For the Fed meeting, people are not betting on a big

positive surprise."

The ongoing U.S.-China trade war has raised policymakers'

concerns about slowing factory output although resilient

domestic consumption has given hawks some reasons to worry about

cutting rates too hastily.

Possibly further complicating their discussions, short-term

U.S. interest rates shot up this week, with overnight repo rates

rising to 7%, due largely to seasonal factors such as huge

payments for taxes and bond supply. That prompted the New York Fed to conduct its first repo

operation in more than a decade to inject funds to stressed

money markets. The New York Federal Reserve said late Tuesday it would

conduct a repurchase agreement operation early on Wednesday "in

order to help maintain the federal funds rate within the target

range of" 2.00% to 2.25%. Jeffrey Gundlach, chief executive of DoubleLine Capital,

said on Tuesday that the repo market squeeze makes it more

likely that the Federal Reserve will resume expansion of its

balance sheet "pretty soon." Also in focus is the Bank of Japan's policy meeting due

Thursday. While the latest Reuters poll suggests the BOJ will

keep its policy on hold, 28 of 41 economists expect it will ease

its policy this year and 13 believe it may surprise by taking

action at the Thursday meeting. In currencies, sterling edged lower after climbing to a new

six-week high on hopes for a last-minute Brexit deal.

The pound fell 0.2% in early European trade to $1.2476

GBP=D3 , but that followed a decent gain on Tuesday to $1.2528

on the back of optimism that Prime Minister Boris Johnson was

trying to secure a Brexit deal with the European Union before

the Oct. 31 deadline.

Against the euro sterling was unchanged at 88.585 pence

EURGBP=D3 .

The yen eased slightly to 108.21 yen JPY= , near a

1-1/2-month low of 108.37 touched on Tuesday.

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