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GLOBAL MARKETS-Global stocks pause after coronavirus shakeout

Published 25/02/2020, 10:08
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Global stocks pause after coronavirus shakeout
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* S&P E-mini futures up 0.7%

* MSCI All Country World down 0.13%

By Ritvik Carvalho

LONDON, Feb 25 (Reuters) - Global stock markets stabilised

on Tuesday after a wave of early selling petered out and Wall

Street futures managed a solid bounce after the previous day's

sharp selloff on fears about the spreading coronavirus.

European shares recorded their worst one-day loss since June

2016 on Monday as worries about the spread of the new virus far

beyond China whacked global markets and risk sentiment.

But the pan-European STOXX 600 index rose 0.6% in early

trade in London .STOXX .EU , with Italian shares, which

tumbled 5.4% on Monday, also 0.6% higher. Italy is grappling

with the worst outbreak of coronavirus in Europe.

"There is no question financial markets are coming round to

the realisation that this particular crisis is likely to have a

slightly longer shelf life than many thought was the case a

couple of weeks ago," said Michael Hewson, chief markets analyst

at CMC Markets in London.

"For now, there appears little prospect that financial

markets look likely to settle down in the short term, which

means investors will have to get used to an extended period of

uncertainty and volatility."

MSCI's All Country World index, which tracks shares across

47 countries, was down 0.16%, paring some earlier losses when

Asian markets were trading. The index suffered its biggest daily

drop in two years on Monday.

Euro zone government debt markets stabilised, with Italian

bonds on steadier ground after suffering their worst day in over

two months. GVD/EUR

Some dealers cited a Wall Street Journal report on a

possible vaccine as helping sentiment, though human tests of the

drug are not due until the end of April and results not until

July or August. Whatever the cause, E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 ESc1

bounced 0.7% to pare some of the steep 3.35% loss the cash index

.SPX suffered overnight.

The VIX volatility index .VIX , also known as Wall Street's

"fear gauge", fell 2.2 points to 22.8, away from highs not seen

since January 2019 that it hit on Monday.

In Asia earlier, South Korea's hard-hit market .KS11 eked

out a 0.6% rise and helped MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific

shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS fight back to flat.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 was down 3.4%, catching up with the

global sell-off after having been shut on Monday, while Shanghai

blue chips .CSI300 eased 1.6%.

European and U.S. stocks have suffered their biggest loses

since mid-2016 amid fears the coronavirus may be morphing into a

pandemic that could cripple global supply chains and wreak far

greater economic damage than first thought.

The risks are such that bond markets are starting to bet

central banks will have to ride to the rescue with new stimulus.

Futures for the Federal Reserve funds rate 0#FF: have

surged in the last few days to price in a 50-50 chance of a

quarter-point rate cut as early as April. In all, they imply

more than 50 basis points of reductions by year end.

Central banks across Asia have already been easing policy,

while governments have promised large injections of fiscal

stimulus, something western countries might also have to

consider.

Data showing sales of smartphones in China tumbled by more

than a third in January, underlining the potential economic

impact of the virus, helped knock Apple Inc AAPL.O shares 3.5%

lower on Monday. BET ON RATE CUTS

The coronavirus death toll climbed to seven in Italy on

Monday and several Middle East countries were dealing with their

first infections, feeding worries about a pandemic. The rush to bonds left yields on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes

US10YT=RR at 1.39%, down almost 20 basis points in just three

sessions and paying less than overnight rates. Yields are

rapidly approaching the all-time low of 1.321% hit in July 2016.

The sharp drop, combined with the fact the Fed has far more

room to cut interest rates than its peers, kept the U.S. dollar

restrained after a run of strong gains.

"Besides a tapering in the geographical spread of the

coronavirus or unexpected improvements in key short-term macro

indicators, the circuit breaker for these market moves is

starting to move towards the U.S. central bank," Danske Bank

said in a note to clients.

In currencies, the euro edged up a little from recent

three-year lows to reach $1.0862 EUR= , while the dollar lost

0.06% to trade at 110.64 yen JPY= , away from a 10-month top of

112.21. USD/

Against a basket of currencies, the greenback dipped 0.16%

to 99.202 =USD .

Gold ran into profit-taking after hitting a seven-year peak

overnight, and was last down 0.9% at $1,645.57 an ounce XAU= .

Oil steadied after shedding nearly 4% on Monday. U.S. crude

CLc1 was up 0.2% at $51.55, while Brent crude LCOc1 firmed

0.4% to $56.51. O/R

Global stocks' performance vs. reported coronavirus cases https://tmsnrt.rs/3c3WvTr

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