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GLOBAL MARKETS-Rising bond yields support value stocks ahead of central bank meetings

Published 11/09/2019, 07:15
Updated 11/09/2019, 07:20
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Rising bond yields support value stocks ahead of central bank meetings

* Bond yields rise, U.S. 10-yr Treasury yield up 10 bps on

* Investors unwind their positions ahead of central bank

meetings

* Value-oriented shares worldwide suddenly in favour

* European stock futures point to slightly higher opening

* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

By Hideyuki Sano and Tomo Uetake

TOKYO, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Bond yields climbed and stock

markets held firm on Wednesday, as hopes of easing U.S.-China

tensions and diminished risk of a no-deal Brexit prompted buying

of out-of-favour value stocks before key central bank meetings.

Oil prices also firmed, underpinned by a big drop in U.S.

crude stockpiles, after slipping the previous day.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS rose 0.6% to hit a fresh 5-1/2-week high.

Pan-European Euro Stoxx 50 futures STXEc1 gained 0.2% in

late Asian trade, indicating that European cash share markets

will open slightly higher on Wednesday.

Stock investors around the world sustained their rotation

into value stocks, representing a major reversal after many

months of outperformance by growth shares such as tech

companies.

Japan's Nikkei average .N225 climbed 1.0%, with the Topix

Value index .TOPXV jumping 2.2% and the Topix Growth .TOPXG

adding 1.1%.

The Shanghai Composite .SSEC and the blue-chip CSI300

.CSI300 were down 0.3% and 0.7%, respectively, while Hong

Kong's Hang Seng .HSI advanced 1.7%.

On Wall Street, the S&P 500 .SPX ended little changed as a

rally in energy and industrial shares countered a drop in the

technology and real-estate sectors with investors favouring

value over growth. .N/C

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"The sudden jump in value-oriented shares in the U.S. and

elsewhere has all the hallmarks of position unwinding by major

hedge funds," said Norihiro Fujito, chief investment strategist

at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities.

"Such unwinding could continue for a few days but will

likely end by the Fed's policy meeting."

Such reversals began last week after the announcement of

U.S.-China trade talks in October and as the British parliament

moved to prevent Prime Minister Boris Johnson from crashing the

UK out of the European Union without a deal.

Position unwinding was also apparent in bond markets ahead

of key central bank policy announcements, including the European

Central Bank on Thursday and the U.S. Federal Reserve next week.

"Global bond markets are experiencing so-called momentum

crashes," said Masanari Takada, cross-asset strategist at Nomura

Securities, referring to a sudden and dramatic change in the

direction of asset prices.

"Trend-following CTAs (Commodity Trading Advisers) were

forced to square their long positions in major bond futures."

U.S. bond yields jumped on Wednesday, with the 10-year

Treasuries yield rising more than 10 basis points to a one-month

high of 1.745% US10YT=RR .

It last stood at 1.714% in late Asian trade. The Japanese

10-year JGB yield rose 3 basis points to its one-month high of

minus 0.200% JP10YTN=JBTC , while the Australian 10-year yield

rose more than 5 basis points to a six-week high of 1.147%

AU10YT=RR earlier on Wednesday.

In Europe, Germany's 30-year benchmark bond yield

DE30YT=RR briefly broke into positive territory on Tuesday for

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the first time since Aug. 5.

Investors had bought bonds for many weeks on expectations

that the ECB will dole out stimulus, with a cut in interest

rates of at least 10 basis points fully priced in.

Some traders also expect more measures including a deeper

interest rate cut and a restart of its asset purchase programme.

The Fed is also widely expected to deliver an interest rate

cut next week.

Germany also signalled its readiness for relaxing its

staunch opposition to deficit spending to support the economy,

leading to speculation Berlin could issue more debt, and curbing

appetite for German bonds.

Finance Minister Olaf Scholz said on Tuesday the country can

counter a possible economic crisis by injecting billions of

euros into the economy. In the currency market, the dollar strengthened 0.2% to

107.795 yen JPY= , its highest in six weeks.

The euro was little changed at $1.1047 EUR= , while the

British pound stood at $1.2361 GBP=D4 , near its six-week high

of $1.2385 hit earlier in the week.

Oil prices rose on Wednesday after an industry report showed

that crude stockpiles in the United States fell last week by

more than twice the amount that analysts had forecast. Prices

hovered near their strongest in six weeks despite small losses

on Tuesday after U.S. President Donald Trump fired national

security adviser John Bolton. The departure of Bolton, who took a strident stance against

Iran, raised speculation of improvement in U.S.-Iran relations

and an eventual return of Iranian crude exports to the market.

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Still, the market was underpinned by Saudi Arabia's new

energy minister's assurances of continued output cuts by the

Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries.

In addition, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are

nowhere near subsiding after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin

Netanyahu announced his intention to annex a large swathe of the

occupied West Bank, a move condemned by Arab League foreign

ministers. Brent crude LCOc1 futures rose 0.6% to $62.76 a barrel

while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 gained

0.7% to $57.80 per barrel.

(Editing by Stephen Coates, Jacqueline Wong and Muralikumar

Anantharaman)

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