GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares, bond yields perch at six-week highs

Published 13/09/2019, 10:22
© Reuters.
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* MSCI world share index at highest since end of July

* Europe's bourses creep higher, set for 4th week of gains

* Trump wants full deal with Beijing after goodwill gestures

* Bond yields at 6-week high as recession worries ebb

By Marc Jones

LONDON, Sept 13 (Reuters) - World shares climbed to a

six-week high alongside benchmark government bond yields on

Friday, as markets cheered signs of progress in U.S.-China trade

talks and another powerful slug of stimulus from the European

Central Bank.

It was a bit of a groggy start in Europe after it emerged

not all of the ECB's member country's had wanted to restart its

money printing programme but the main bourses

eventually added 0.2% to what was already set to be a fourth

straight week of gains. .EU

The euro shuffled up to a two-week high in foreign exchange

markets too, as traders there suspected the ECB may have now

exhausted all ammunition of any worth, though a six-week low for

the safe-haven Japanese yen and the pound back above $1.24 for

the first time since late July also caught the attention. /FRX

"We have quite an interesting reaction to the ECB meeting

with the sense of the pushback from the core countries, and that

essentially that the ECB has now thrown its last cards in," said

John Hardy, head of FX strategy at Saxo bank.

"It looks like we are also getting to some pretty

interesting levels for yields. If the consolidation continues,

at some point you have to question whether the easing (from the

central banks) is actually there."

U.S., Japanese and European long-dated bond yields were all

at six-week highs. Ten-year U.S. Treasuries were offering almost

1.8% compared with just over 1.4% at the start of September,

while Germany's Bunds settled at the new ECB deposit rate of

-0.5% DE10YT=RR .

It was all built on revived risk appetite and after U.S.

President Donald Trump had said on Thursday he was potentially

open to an interim trade deal with China, although he stressed

an "easy" agreement would not be possible. It would certainly help optimism in the near future though,

a new Reuters poll showed most economists believed the trade

dispute would worsen or at best stay the same over the coming

year. In line with the main world stock indexes, Asian shares

ended their week at a six-week high. Japan's Nikkei .N225 did

even better and scored a 4-month peak, while Wall Street's S&P

500 had closed just short of its all-time closing high. .T

As well as the boost from the Trump trade signals and the

ECB's salvo of easing measures, sentiment had also been helped

by a U.S. tax overhaul plan aimed at middle-income households

next year.

"Risk assets should find further support from accommodative

policies, which are set to remain in vogue for some time, and

not just in Europe as seen in the global easing trend," said

Esty Dwek, head of global market strategy at Natixis in Geneva,

Switzerland.

EASY! EASY!

U.S. Fed funds rate futures FEDWATCH now imply a 0.25

percentage point interest rate cut by the U.S. central bank next

week but have effectively priced out any chance of a larger cut.

The Fed will announce its policy on Wednesday, followed by

the Bank of Japan (BOJ) on Thursday.

Sources told Reuters the BOJ is leaning towards standing pat

next week if markets are calm, but is brainstorming ways to

deepen negative interest rates at minimal cost. "I think a rally in stock prices will run out of steam soon.

It's typical buy-on-rumour-sell-on-fact trade on central bank

stimulus and will be over by the Fed and the BOJ's meetings,"

said Tatsushi Maeno, senior strategist at Okasan Asset

Management.

Despite the rise in other economy-sensitive assets, oil

prices were on course to post weekly losses.

As well as continued worries about weakening demand, traders

have begun speculating that the U.S. may ease sanctions on Iran

after Trump ousted his hawkish national security adviser John

Bolton this week.

Brent crude LCOc1 futures fell 0.25% to $60.21 a barrel

while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 was down

0.2% at $54.98. Gold ticked up to $1,503 an ounce. GOL/

ECB, German bunds Sept 13 https://tmsnrt.rs/2ZZJE1i

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