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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks battered by Treasury rally as virus sparks shake out

Published 06/03/2020, 06:23
Updated 06/03/2020, 06:27
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks battered by Treasury rally as virus sparks shake out
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* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

* Tracking the coronavirus: https://tmsnrt.rs/3aIRuz7

* Asian stocks fall; CDC warns Americans on virus

* Treasury yields hit record low

* Dollar left damaged by bond market rally

* Oil rises on hopes output cuts to support market

By Stanley White

TOKYO, March 6 (Reuters) - Asian shares and U.S. stock

futures tumbled on Friday as disruptions to business from the

coronavirus worsened, stoking fears of a prolonged global

economic slowdown.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS fell 2.1%, while Japan's Nikkei stock index

.N225 sank 2.94%. Australian shares .AXJO were down 2.44%.

Europe looked set to follow Asia lower, with Euro Stoxx 50

futures STXEc1 shedding 2.44%, Germany's DAX futures FDXc1

down 2.33%, and FTSE futures FFIc1 off 1.94%.

U.S. stock futures ESc1 erased early gains to trade down

1.21%.

Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasuries fell to a record low and

Treasury futures jumped as investors increased bets that the

Federal Reserve will follow this week's surprise 50 basis point

rate cut with further easing to prevent corporate bond spreads

from widening further.

Rapidly falling yields hammered the dollar, which fell to a

six-month low versus the yen and close to a two-year trough

against the Swiss franc.

Oil prices also fell due to worries that non-OPEC oil

producers might not agree to output cuts even though global

energy demand is weakening.

The spread of the coronavirus has accelerated so much in

Europe, Britain and North America that investors who once played

down the virus or thought it would be largely confined to Asia

are now re-assessing the risks, which means more volatility in

financial markets.

"Given the pace of U.S. inflation, yields are too low and I

certainly don't want to buy Treasuries at this level," said

Ayako Sera, market strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank in

Tokyo.

"But the fact that other people are buying shows very strong

desire to escape from risk. This is a panic."

Shares in China CSI300. fell 1.22%, while stocks in Hong

Kong .HIS , another city hard hit by the virus, fell 2.12%.

BUSINESS DISRUPTIONS GROWING

The S&P 500 .SPX tumbled 3.39% on Thursday. The benchmark

has skidded more than 10% from its Feb. 19 closing high, and

last week saw its biggest weekly percentage decline since

October 2008.

Officials and companies in Britain, France, Italy, and the

United States are struggling to deal with a steady rise in virus

infections that have in some cases triggered corporate defaults,

office evacuations, and panic buying of daily necessities.

The flu-like virus emerged late last year in the central

Chinese city of Wuhan and has since spread to more than 80

countries. It has claimed more than 3,000 lives, and though new

infections have slowed in China there are concerns other

countries are not prepared.

Travel restrictions and factory closings aimed at curbing

the spread of the virus are expected to pressure global growth.

Many investors were awaiting the release of U.S. non-farm

payrolls later on Friday. Recent U.S. economic data has been

encouraging, but concerns about the epidemic are likely to

overshadow any signs of a strong labour market.

The Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada both responded to the

economic threats by cutting interest rates by 50 basis points

this week.

The yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes US10YT=RR

fell to a record low of 0.8100% on Friday. The two-year yield

US2YT=RR skidded to 0.4810%, the lowest since April 2015.

Treasury futures TYv1 , normally subdued in Asia, rose by

25 ticks.

Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said

late on Thursday the Fed could cut rates further if needed.

Money markets are pricing in another 25 basis-point-cut from

the current 1% to 1.25% range at the next Fed meeting on March

18-19 and a 50-basis-point cut by April.

Against the Japanese yen JPY= , the dollar fell to a

six-month low and was last at 105.84 yen. The greenback also

sank to a two-year trough of 0.9438 Swiss franc CHF=EBS .

Sterling GBP=D3 traded near a one-week high versus the

dollar.

The euro EUR=EBS held steady at $1.1232. Markets in the

euro zone are pricing in a 93% chance that the European Central

Bank will cut its deposit rate, now minus 0.50%, by 10 basis

points next week.

U.S. crude CLc1 fell 1.13% to $45.38 a barrel, while Brent

LCOc1 fell 1.12% to $49.43, with worries about a decline in

global demand due to the virus outbreak and uncertainty about

production cuts hurting prices. O/R

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