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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks slip as bond markets ring recession alarms

Published 28/08/2019, 09:53
GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks slip as bond markets ring recession alarms
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* MSCI world equity index falls 0.1%

* European stocks down 0.2%

* Sterling down, UK stocks up on BBC parliament suspension

report

* Gold, silver in demand; Japanese yen stands tall

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Tom Wilson

LONDON, Aug 28 (Reuters) - World stocks nudged down on

Wednesday as deepening inversion of the U.S. bond yield curve a

day earlier threw up reminders of looming recession risks,

sending investors towards safe havens such as the Japanese yen

and precious metals.

The U.S. yield curve inverted further on Tuesday to levels

not seen since 2007, rekindling fears of a looming recession and

fuelling a sell-off on Wall Street. An inversion of the yield

curve has historically been a highly accurate predictor of a

U.S. recession.

MSCI's world equity index .MIWD00000PUS , which tracks

shares in 47 countries, fell 0.1%, dragged down by European

shares. The broad Euro STOXX 600 .STOXX fell 0.3%, with

bourses in Paris .FCHI and Frankfurt .GDAXI fell 0.3% and

0.4% respectively.

Still, Wall Street futures gauges NQcv1 EScv1 suggested

U.S. stocks would show more resilience, forecasting gains of

around 0.3%.

London's bourse .FTSE bucked the trend, turning positive

after sterling fell on a tweet by a BBC journalist that

Britain's Queen Elizabeth could be asked as early as Wednesday

to agree to suspend parliament. It was last up 0.2%.

"It's become very difficult for investors to garner an idea

of where we go to next," said Michael Hewson, chief market

strategist at CMC Markets. "The weakness in bond yields, and the

strength in havens speaks to an investor that is becoming

increasingly risk averse."

The 10-year Treasury yield US10YT=RR fell to around 6

basis points below the two-year yield US2YT=RR , with the

10-year yield at 1.494%, close to a three-year low touched on

Monday.

Longer-dated bond yields also fell. U.S. 30-year Treasury

yields US30YT=RR slumped to a few record low, touching 1.906%.

and were last down 6 basis points on the day.

Some investors said market fears of a looming recession,

would further support expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve

would cut interest rates further - something they warned is not

a foregone conclusion.

Federal funds futures FEDWATCH implied traders saw a 91%

chance of a 25 basis point rate cut by the U.S. central bank

next month, and a 100 basis point cut within 2020.

"The market is pricing another 100 basis points cut from the

Fed by next year, but the Fed seems rather reticent to follow

where the market is indicating it should go," said Peter

Schaffrik, head of European rates strategy at RBC Capital

Markets.

SAFE HAVENS IN DEMAND

The renewed fears of a global economic slowdown bolstered

demand for assets perceived as safe havens.

Gold XAU= recovered some of its early losses to last

trading at $1,539.98, down 0.1%. Silver XAG= gained 0.8%, on

course for its fourth straight day of gains.

In currencies, the Japanese yen kept a grip on its recent

gains. The yen, seen as a safe haven in part because of Japan's

large trade surplus and a tendency for domestic investors to

repatriate money in times of market turbulence, traded at 105.77

per dollar JPY=EBS . It held its gains from the previous day,

when it advanced 0.35% to a 7-month peak.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a

basket of currencies, rose a sliver of a gain to 98.042 .DXY .

Currencies that tend to perform well when investors buy into

riskier assets, such as the Australian AUD=D3 and New Zealand

NZD=D3 dollars, fell.

The pound, already trading lower on the day, extended its

drop after senior BBC journalist Nick Robinson said on Twitter

that Britain's queen could be asked to suspend parliament. It

fell to hit $1.2220, down 0.5% GBP=D3 . British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has said Britain will

leave the European Union on Oct. 31 with or without a deal.

Media have previously reported that he wants to suspend

parliament to help force through an exit.

For Reuters Live Markets blog on European and UK stock

markets, please click on: LIVE/

U.S. Yield Curve http://tmsnrt.rs/2zUqXiW

World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

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