Market Overview

Be prepared for this week's Federal Reserve meeting. Here are 4 ways to trade the upcoming interest rate cut 

The August jobs report highlighted a critical reality: the labor market is cooling off. While the headline figures seemed decent, the underlying data reveals clear warning signs that worker demand is...

The financial markets have been expecting more cuts in the federal funds rate (FFR) than Eric and I have all year so far. At the start of this year, the markets anticipated six to seven rate cuts in...

Today’s revised estimate of US economic activity for the upcoming third-quarter GDP report continues to point to a slower-but-still-solid growth rate, based on the median nowcast for several...

Over the past few decades, the global landscape of technological research has undergone an unprecedented transformation. While the United States once dominated this strategic field, China has...

Let me start with the punch line, which I think will not be a very common take: this report does not stop the Fed from easing 50bps next week, and honestly doesn’t really even hurt the chances very...

We have written many articles and commentaries forecasting interest rates. The analysis has used prior and current inflation and economic activity. Additionally, we have looked at market data on...

The highly anticipated U.S. August CPI report comes out on Wednesday morning. Headline annual inflation is seen rising 2.5% and core CPI is forecast to increase 3.2%. The CPI print could potentially...

Tomorrow’s update on US consumer inflation for August isn’t expected to derail expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next week, but the disinflation trend of late looks set to...

We are observing a true regime change in markets. And for macro investors, it’s incredibly important to stay vigilant and on top of our game at this stage. It all starts with this: the Fed is behind...

The yield curve's longest inversion in history ended recently. Despite many predictions, a recession did not follow the inversion. This captures a valuable lesson for investors. For less than $9 a...

European and US stock futures are trading mixed, while investors are paying close attention to economic numbers from China and Europe. Over in Europe, we saw the German Final CPI m/m number matching...

The U.S. economy could be heading into choppy waters, and investors may be wise to buckle up. Recent data suggest that storm clouds could be gathering, with declines in U.S. manufacturing, a...

Last week's decline hints at a growing unease among market participants. With the labor market softening further, is the Fed too late on rate cuts? The S&P 500’s recent struggles signal cautious...