Market Overview

The stock market sold off on a decline in February's Consumer Confidence Index (CCI), confirming a similar decline in February's Consumer Sentiment Index (CSI), which was reported at the end of last...

The central bank’s job is never easier, but in the current climate, it’s unusually tricky. In addition to the usual challenges that complicate real-time monetary policy decisions, the Federal Reserve...

The EU’s most costly budgets, bitcoin’s market swings, and rising US bankruptcies. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts. 1. The EU Countries With...

Last week, we discussed that continued bullish exuberance and high levels of complacency can quickly turn into volatility. As we noted then, introducing an unexpected, exogenous event can soon lead...

Economic data activity will pick up again this week, culminating in the PCE report on Friday. Additionally, NVIDIA's (NASDAQ:NVDA) midweek earnings, which have become a significant market-moving...

“The Gunfight at Dodge City” is a 1959 Western film. After his brother the sheriff is murdered, Bat Masterson is elected to the job of sheriff and is determined to find the killer and make Dodge City...

I am constantly amazed at certain articles of faith among the economics community. In my line of expertise, one of the most amazing to me is the absolute conviction with which the economics community...

For Part 1 on “Tariff Risk” read: Tariff Impact Not As Bearish As Predicted. In “Trumpflation” we discussed why the tariff risk was not inflation. To wit: “Today, globalization and technology give...

Last week, we learned that the Consumer Price Index rose by 0.47% in January, well above expectations. Excluding food and energy, the news was not much better, with a 0.45% advance. It was a...

US economic activity is on track to maintain a moderate growth rate in 2025’s first quarter, according to the median for several nowcasts compiled by CapitalSpectator.com. Today’s initial Q1 estimate...

Market Shakes Off Inflation Data I am back from traveling, and we have a good bit to catch up on since our last report. If you missed it, I provided an update on Tuesday, updating all the weekly...

The appetite for leverage in the stock market currently appears insatiable. “Retail daredevils — undeterred by recent Wall Street jitters over AI and crypto — are going long, pumping up leveraged...

US Economy I: On the Road Again. Taylor Swift’s “The Eras Tour” was her sixth tour. It started on March 17, 2023, in Glendale, Arizona and concluded on December 8, 202,4 in Vancouver, British...

It will be a slow start to the week, with the markets closed on Monday for Presidents’ Day. Things should pick up for the market by Wednesday. Of course, we’ll have the Fed minutes, and then on...