Market Overview

The standoff between Donald Trump and the US Federal Reserve is intensifying. The Fed kept rates on hold this month, much to the US President's displeasure. Our James Knightley looks at where the...

Robust activity, a solid jobs market and sticky inflation justify the Fed's decision to hold interest rates steady. The hawkish tilt from officials may in part be a message to President Trump that...

Stocks finished the day lower after the Fed held rates steady and signaled a more patient approach. If you listen to Powell’s talk, the takeaway is that the Fed is in a good place, and it sounds like...

Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, aka AOC, recently railed against the President when he threatened Colombia with tariffs if they should refuse to accept their citizens being deported back to...

Ford F, Costco COST, and Charles Schwab SCHW will issue monthly updates in the sessions ahead, offering clues on the state of the US economy. Q4 earnings reports are coming in fast, but...

Economic output in the fourth quarter is expected to increase at a solid rate in this week’s initial GDP estimate from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Thursday’s report from the government (Jan. 29)...

Stocks finished the day higher, with the Fed meeting scheduled for today. The S&P 500 gained around 90%. Technology names bounced back yesterday, while the S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP)...

The Nasdaq 100 witnessed its largest one-day fall since 2022 after the DeepSeek correction extended much further on Monday. Potentially, this technology could be a game-changer, and questions are...

Q4 S&P 500 EPS growth is expected to come in at 12.7%, the highest growth rate in three years. Large-cap outlier earnings dates this week include: LUV, KMB, PPG (WA:IBSP), CI, CB, and...

Investors this week will be keenly watching how or if the Federal Reserve and the bond market cooperate with Donald Trump’s order for lower interest rates. Although the central bank is unlikely to...

There is a very high correlation between small/mid-cap stocks’ annual rate of change and the NFIB small business confidence index. Business owners tend to lean conservatively, favoring policies that...

This week, we have the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday, followed by the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting on Thursday. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) made waves last Friday by raising its...

Bitcoin continues its post-election run with the December pullback coming to an end. The emergence from a picture-perfect cup-and-handle pattern opens up 130K as an upside - and very reachable -...

We regularly assess the subjective probabilities that we assign to our three scenarios: the Roaring 2020s (55%), the Meltup 1990s (25%), and the Stagflationary 1970s (20%). The last scenario, with...