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Russia and Saudi Arabia recently announced that oil supply cuts will be extended until the end of 2023. The two countries will cut supply by 300,000 and 1 million barrels per day, respectively....
Inflation has come down a great deal from its peak, but what if — in a total plot twist from the Fed's plan — disinflation is what turns out to be transitory? Certainly, there are...
The ECB hiked interest rates to 4% and I think they made a policy mistake.Lagarde keeps throwing fuel on the fire as the European economy is already feeling the tightening much harder and faster than...
In this video, I talk about how $100 oil affects growth, S&P 500, Dax, and Forex. Learn how to use these trends to identify trading opportunities.
The equity market fell last week, with the indexes plunging sharply on Friday. This was mostly due to OPEX, as the supportive flows we observed at the beginning of last week have vanished since the...
Today is Quadruple Witching Friday! Here's a quick video on what quadruple witching means for stocks and forex
After raising rates in July, the Federal Reserve is all but certain to skip tightening at its policy meeting next week. Fed Chair Powell will likely hint that a rate hike in November is very much a...
Predicting the stock market is impossible, and even dominant players can fall from grace eventually History has shown that new technological trends, or revolutions often lead to disappointment in the...
Ever since the 30-year Treasury bond yield (one ‘top-down’ macro tool to gauge the environment so that we may invest in, speculate upon, or avoid certain situations, accordingly) broke its...
US consumer inflation rose more than expected in August, but the surprise jump hasn’t persuaded markets to abandon expectations that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at...
Ponzi schemes are still happening around us, like the one in Italy recently As wise investors, we need to recognize the red flags to protect our capital What steps can we take to avoid falling for...
Oil prices extended 10-month highs on Wednesday. Meanwhile, annual inflation rose higher than expected to 3.7% in August.Oil prices soared to the highest since November 2022 on Wednesday...
Despite surging interest rates, there are few signs they are impeding economic activity or causing distress amongst borrowers. It may seem strange that higher rates are not proving troublesome for an...
Some analysts who favor one or two indicators to forecast US recessions have had a rough year. The reliance on a generally robust predictor may yet prove its worth in the months ahead. But so far the...
The monthly GDP numbers have been highly volatile, but we do expect slower growth over the coming months as the cooler jobs market and higher rates continue to biteThe UK economy contracted by half a...