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The European Central Bank continues its hiking cycle and shows no sign of pausing any time soon.One month ahead of the first anniversary of what has become the ECB’s most aggressive tightening...
Imagine you are about to pause a hiking cycle, and in the run-up to the event, you have stock markets pushing higher and animal spirits running loose: what do you do?You still deliver the pause you...
The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged in yesterday’s policy announcement, marking the first time the central bank has not lifted rates since the hiking cycle began in March 2022. But...
Markets ended the day flat after Fed's hawkish pause The pause will help Fed assess effects of previous hikes on the economy A couple of hikes remain on the table before the end of 2023 As expected,...
5 Main Fed Takeaways Fed leaves rates unchanged, dot plot shows +50bp this yr Powell says July is live meeting June pause is not a skip but continuation of moderation Rate cuts "couple years...
Markets rallied as inflation continued to decline Fed is expected to pause today and hike in July CPI could drop in July because of the base effect, and it makes more sense for Fed to raise now and...
If you are trading this week, you need to watch this video where I breakdown the outlook for US data, Fed, ECB, BoJ and more!
Buyers pushed up prices for most of the major asset classes last week. US bonds were the downside outliers, based on a set of ETFs through Friday’s close (June 9).Government fixed-income markets...
This will be a pivotal week for the markets, with CPI on Tuesday, the June FOMC meeting on Wednesday, the ECB on Thursday, and the BOJ and US options expiring on Friday.Markets aren’t sold on...
When the U.S. Dollar is strong, it is a headwind for precious metals. And when the U.S. Dollar is weak, it is a tailwind for precious metals. Today we check in on this relationship by looking at a...
New Video! With FOMC, ECB and BoJ this week, here's a new video on the best way to trade Central Bank decisions.Trading central bank rate decisions can be risky, but you can improve your...
Since October 2022, the stock market has traded consistently higher as earnings improved. With the first quarter earnings season behind us and the second quarter approaching, will earnings improve...
Market timing is investors' worst enemy And, buy and hold is investors' best friend in the long term Despite knowing this, most investors tend to lose a lot of money Despite the emergence of...
The US and European stock futures are trading a bit flat while traders focus on the next big catalyst that will drive the price action. The past few weeks have been about the US debt, and the drama...
Today we are going to geek out on inflation derivatives a little more. Since early 2022, just after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, 10y US CPI swaps have fallen from about 3.15% to around 2.50% (see...