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Most of the major asset classes continued to rally in July, led by a surge in commodities based on a set of ETFs. US bonds, by contrast, remained the outlier, posting a third straight monthly...
Bank of Japan raises upper range of 10-year government bond yields to 1% Inflation remains high but not high enough for BOJ officials Meanwhile, Nikkei225 could still target new all-time highs Last...
Commodities have joined the party. After last week’s rally that lifted a broad measure of commodities, all the major asset classes are now posting gains for the year to date through...
This week will feature a ton of economic data that will likely reveal that the job market remains strong and the economy remains robust. Initial jobless claims have consistently decreased in the past...
The macroeconomic narrative shifts from recession to a soft landing.The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released the quarterly gross domestic product (GDP) data on Thursday. Although subject to...
While Washington continues a seemingly unbridled spending spree under the assumption “more spending” is better, debts and deficits matter. To better understand the impact of debt and...
The Fed raised interest rates by 0.25%, as expected Fed Chair Powell expressed uncertainty about achieving the 2% inflation target by 2025 Meanwhile, markets fluctuated and closed with uncertainty...
Jerome Powell and his colleagues endlessly reassert their “higher for longer” plan for interest rates. They aim to weaken economic growth, bringing inflation back to pre-pandemic levels....
The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates by 0.25% on Wednesday to the highest since 2001. Despite hawkish warnings from Fed Chair Powell, the majority of traders are betting that this...
There’s an aspect of the higher interest rate structure we are now blessed/cursed with that hasn’t gotten as much airplay, but which is great news for dealer desks and also a good thing...
This is one of the most popular and yet misleading charts in macro.People like simple narratives: the Fed is ''pumping money'' into the ''system,'' and that's why equity markets go up. That’s...
This will be one of the busiest weeks of the year, with a flood of economic data, an FOMC meeting, an ECB meeting, and a BOJ meeting. On top of that, there will be earnings from 3 of the big seven.The...
ESG scoring and mandates remain a subject we have contested since it sprang to life in 2020. The push of “woke activism” on, and by companies, to meet nebulous or artificial standards has...
In Q1, Intel suffered the biggest loss in its history after its revenues plunged 36%. The chipmaker presents results on July 27 and is expected to post losses similar to Q1. Can Intel's ambitious...
In the course of this inflation cycle – and I do think this is a cycle, and not necessarily a one-off, although the subsequent peaks may not surpass this year’s peak in Median CPI for some...