Market Overview

Fear, greed and bias reinforcement sell. Reality, at any given time? Not so much. A look at stocks, commodities, inflation, gold and silver through a contrary lens.As I continue to get more...

Inflation trades are fading and gold (NYSE:GLD) is ascending to its rightful place in the disinflationary macro.The favored plan is working out well as we planned the Q4 (2022) – Q1 (2023) rally...

As portfolio managers, this is the question we ask ourselves daily. Since the lows of last October, the technical backdrop has improved markedly, as we discussed last week: “Our most critical...

The Federal Reserve holds its highly anticipated March FOMC policy meeting next week against an increasingly uncertain economic backdrop. The U.S. central bank is widely expected to raise interest...

Market pressures on U.S. banks are now spreading to Europe, where the already troubled Credit Suisse (NYSE:CS) asked the Swiss government for help and got a liquidity boost.Investors are asking the...

The stock market forever surprises investors, but in the realm of risk, the future’s a bit less uncertain, at least sometimes. That’s hardly a silver bullet, but it helps manage...

Since projecting the Q4-Q1 broad market rally back in November, we have been managing a macro transition within this rally. Based on the leadership of the Semiconductor sector and Tech, it has been...

If a couple of regional banks were so bad at managing their interest rate risk and deposit outflow risk to blow up in a few hours, how can we really be sure other banks won’t face similar...

SVB failed due to higher interest rates and a liquidity problem Despite the failure, today's situation is different from 2008, with lower bank leverage, safer investments, and Fed support This, in...

Understandably, a lot of inexperienced traders might struggle to survive, let alone thrive, in this market environment. But paradoxically, it is exactly times like now when some experienced traders...

Over the past week, the financial world has been rocked by the news of Silicon Valley Bank's failure - the largest bank to go under since the 2008 financial crisis.The shock announcement came last...

In this piece, we’re going to run through some of this week’s important data releases and give our initial thoughts on the recent collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.Let’s dive right...

Daylight Savings is bad for your health and bad for trading.Here are 3 ways DST affects trading. 

A tumultuous week for US banks saw the shares of the crypto-friendly Signature Bank (NASDAQ:SBNY) drop nearly 23% on Friday and more than 37% since Monday. The decline comes after the second large...